Research Article

Methodology to Forecast Road Surface Temperature with Principal Components Analysis and Partial Least-Square Regression: Application to an Urban Configuration

Table 3

Results of PLS models with optimum number of thermal fingerprints.

PLS configurationDateMeasured RST (°C)RST forecast (°C)Bias
Standard deviation

RST <10°C (2 factors used out of 6 of the PLS model using 8 samples)2012-12-110.40.40.01.9
2013-10-2412.110.7−1.51.7

RST <10°C (6 factors used out of 6 of the PLS model using 8 samples)2012-12-110.40.1−0.31.9
2013-10-2412.111.3−0.81.6

RST <10°C (2 factors used out of 4 of the PLS model using 6 samples)2012-12-110.40.40.02.2
2013-03-220.80.1−0.72.4

RST <10°C (4 factors used out of 4 of the PLS model using 6 samples)2012-12-110.4−0.1−0.52.4
2013-03-220.8−0.2−1.02.7

Where bias , with , RSTmeasured, respectively, modelled and measured road surface temperature.