Probabilistic Dressing of a Storm Surge Prediction in the Adriatic Sea

Figure 3

Brier skill score as function of lead time for the four different dressing methods (red thick line: UDPF, violet continuous cum dotted line: EDPF, brown continuous cum dotted line: MDPF, and green continuous cum dotted line: MULTIPDF) is compared to the EPS BSS (blue dash line). In (a, c, e, g, i)/(b, d, f, h, j), the BSS is computed with respect to observations/hindcast, considering SR = 0, 25, and 50 cm and SL = 80 and 110 cm.

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