Research Article
A Hybrid Model Based on Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and Fruit Fly Optimization Algorithm for Wind Speed Forecasting
Table 8
The typical results of the hybrid model and the results of the other models for the four seasons.
| Case | Errors | Persistence model | ARIMA model | EEMD-FOARBF | EEMD-FOAGRNN | EEMD-FOASVR | Hybrid model |
| Spring | MAE | 0.7741 | 0.7285 | 0.3675 | 0.5690 | 0.3692 | 0.0976 | RMSE | 0.9023 | 0.8769 | 0.4714 | 0.7505 | 0.4783 | 0.1308 | IA | 0.8638 | 0.8684 | 0.9647 | 0.9019 | 0.9617 | 0.9973 |
| Summer | MAE | 0.7208 | 0.7111 | 0.4312 | 0.5280 | 0.3940 | 0.1032 | RMSE | 0.8589 | 0.8615 | 0.5287 | 0.6472 | 0.4920 | 0.1280 | IA | 0.8716 | 0.8682 | 0.9374 | 0.8965 | 0.9496 | 0.9964 |
| Fall | MAE | 0.6708 | 0.7879 | 0.6917 | 0.4197 | 0.3169 | 0.1113 | RMSE | 0.8585 | 1.0181 | 1.0098 | 0.6322 | 0.4604 | 0.1453 | IA | 0.9554 | 0.9326 | 0.9294 | 0.9732 | 0.9874 | 0.9987 |
| Winter | MAE | 0.7833 | 0.7017 | 0.6117 | 0.6211 | 0.4171 | 0.0875 | RMSE | 1.0450 | 0.9779 | 0.7548 | 0.7955 | 0.5301 | 0.1164 | IA | 0.9098 | 0.9133 | 0.9399 | 0.9264 | 0.9749 | 0.9988 |
| Average | MAE | 0.7373 | 0.7323 | 0.5255 | 0.5345 | 0.3743 | 0.0999 | RMSE | 0.9162 | 0.9336 | 0.6912 | 0.7064 | 0.4902 | 0.1301 | IA | 0.9002 | 0.8956 | 0.9429 | 0.9245 | 0.9684 | 0.9978 |
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