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Advances in Meteorology
Volume 2016, Article ID 3818236, 16 pages
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/3818236
Research Article

Projection of Korean Probable Maximum Precipitation under Future Climate Change Scenarios

1Division of Earth Environmental System Science (Major of Environmental Engineering), Pukyong National University, Busan 48513, Republic of Korea
2Department of Civil Engineering, Sunmoon University, Chunman 31460, Republic of Korea
3Department of Environmental Engineering, Pukyong National University, Busan 48513, Republic of Korea

Received 5 May 2016; Revised 12 August 2016; Accepted 19 September 2016

Academic Editor: Stefano Dietrich

Copyright © 2016 Okjeong Lee et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Abstract

According to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, air temperature and humidity of the future are expected to gradually increase over the current. In this study, future PMPs are estimated by using future dew point temperature projection data which are obtained from RCM data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration. First, bias included in future dew point temperature projection data which is provided on a daily basis is corrected through a quantile-mapping method. Next, using a scale-invariance technique, 12-hour duration 100-year return period dew point temperatures which are essential input data for PMPs estimation are estimated from bias-corrected future dew point temperature data. After estimating future PMPs, it can be shown that PMPs in all future climate change scenarios (AR5 RCP2.6, RCP 4.5, RCP 6.0, and RCP 8.5) are very likely to increase.