Research Article

Comparison of Three Statistical Downscaling Methods and Ensemble Downscaling Method Based on Bayesian Model Averaging in Upper Hanjiang River Basin, China

Table 3

Performance assessment of SWAT model during calibration and validation periods.

Calibration (1960–1990)Validation (1991–2009)
NSCRCERR/%NSCRCERR/%

All0.870.95−6.310.760.89−12.31
Jan.−10.48 0.27 −76.87 −5.60 0.27 −83.79
Feb.−3.82 0.66 −58.54 −3.13 0.39 −74.21
Mar.−0.15 0.80 −28.33 −3.79 0.36 −50.24
Apr.0.67 0.91 3.98 −1.39 0.58 −30.56
May0.74 0.87 3.23 0.51 0.86 −12.33
Jun.0.73 0.91 −5.58 0.73 0.93 −11.73
Jul.0.51 0.82 10.11 0.66 0.84 1.64
Aug.0.65 0.88 10.78 0.82 0.91 −1.77
Sep.0.93 0.97 −4.07 0.91 0.95 −3.60
Oct.0.92 0.97 −11.20 0.88 0.94 −6.15
Nov.−0.08 0.71 −28.04 0.75 0.94 −21.69
Dec.−3.98 0.58 −67.21 −2.34 0.72 −76.35