Markov Chain Decomposition of Monthly Rainfall into Daily Rainfall: Evaluation of Climate Change Impact

Table 5

Division of the change of monthly rainfall amounts (C_R) into the change of the mean number of wet days (C_N) and the change of the mean daily rainfall intensity (C_I).

State	Month	C_R	C_N	C_I	Month	C_R	C_N	C_I
Current	January	—	—	—	July	—	—	—
GCM (Avg)		0.10	0.03 (27%)	0.07 (73%)		−0.05	−0.02 (30%)	−0.04 (70%)
GCM (Min)		−0.33	−0.09 (27%)	−0.24 (73%)		−0.16	−0.05 (30%)	−0.11 (70%)
GCM (Max)		0.47	0.13 (28%)	0.34 (72%)		0.05	0.02 (30%)	0.04 (70%)
Current	February	—	—	—	August	—	—	—
GCM (Avg)		0.35	0.13 (36%)	0.23 (64%)		0.14	0.03 (25%)	0.11 (75%)
GCM (Min)		−0.29	−0.10 (34%)	−0.19 (66%)		−0.07	−0.02 (24%)	−0.06 (76%)
GCM (Max)		0.75	0.28 (37%)	0.47 (63%)		0.26	0.06 (25%)	0.19 (75%)
Current	March	—	—	—	September	—	—	—
GCM (Avg)		0.30	0.09 (29%)	0.22 (71%)		0.00	0.00 (22%)	0.00 (78%)
GCM (Min)		−0.32	−0.09 (29%)	−0.23 (71%)		−0.24	−0.06 (24%)	−0.18 (76%)
GCM (Max)		0.78	0.23 (30%)	0.55 (70%)		0.29	0.07 (26%)	0.22 (74%)
Current	April	—	—	—	October	—	—	—
GCM (Avg)		−0.01	0.00 (30%)	−0.01 (70%)		0.03	0.01 (16%)	0.03 (84%)
GCM (Min)		−0.24	−0.07 (30%)	−0.17 (70%)		−0.38	−0.08 (22%)	−0.30 (78%)
GCM (Max)		0.31	0.09 (31%)	0.21 (69%)		0.69	0.16 (23%)	0.53 (77%)
Current	May	—	—	—	November	—	—	—
GCM (Avg)		0.24	0.10 (40%)	0.14 (60%)		−0.12	−0.04 (35%)	−0.08 (65%)
GCM (Min)		0.08	0.03 (40%)	0.05 (60%)		−0.66	−0.22 (33%)	−0.44 (67%)
GCM (Max)		0.40	0.16 (41%)	0.24 (59%)		0.25	0.09 (35%)	0.16 (65%)
Current	June	—	—	—	December	—	—	—
GCM (Avg)		0.34	0.10 (31%)	0.23 (69%)		−0.10	−0.03 (26%)	−0.07 (74%)
GCM (Min)		0.10	0.03 (30%)	0.07 (70%)		−0.47	−0.12 (26%)	−0.35 (74%)
GCM (Max)		0.60	0.19 (31%)	0.41 (69%)		0.67	0.18 (27%)	0.49 (73%)