Statistical Uncertainty in Hydrometeorological Trend Analyses

<table class="figure-group"><tr class="fig-image" id="a"><td><object data="https://static.hindawi.com/articles/amete/volume-2016/8701617/figures/8701617.fig.0012a.svgz" name="8701617.fig.0012a" type="image/svg+xml"></object></td></tr><tr class="fig-caption"><td><b>(a) </b>Before VC <svg height="11.5564pt" id="M418" style="vertical-align:-2.26807pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 43.1299 11.5564" width="43.1299pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M300 -147C201 -63 143 98 143 270S200 602 300 686L282 710C136 610 70 450 70 271V270C70 89 136 -72 282 -170L300 -147Z" id="g113-41"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,4.498,0)"><path d="M495 86L479 114C446 82 419 66 409 66C401 66 401 72 406 97C420 166 436 231 453 297C489 435 454 448 428 448C406 448 384 439 354 422C305 394 222 327 161 247H159L183 345C200 415 194 448 173 448C143 448 82 410 23 351L38 325C64 349 95 371 105 371C111 371 116 365 109 336L25 -4L31 -12C50 -4 77 3 107 9C119 69 132 122 145 168C197 254 321 381 370 381C387 381 393 374 378 305L329 95C309 17 320 -12 345 -12C372 -12 430 19 495 86Z" id="g113-111"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="502" vert-adv-y="502"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,14.656,0)"><path d="M535 323V373H52V323H535ZM535 138V188H52V138H535Z" id="g117-34"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="587" vert-adv-y="587"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,25.919,0)"><path d="M456 178V225H360V632H320C217 496 115 347 20 206V178H280V106C280 40 276 34 189 27V0H445V27C364 34 360 39 360 106V178H456ZM280 225H82C149 335 214 431 278 520H280V225Z" id="g113-53"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="480" vert-adv-y="480"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,32.159,0)"><path d="M241 635C89 635 35 457 35 312C35 153 89 -12 240 -12C390 -12 443 166 443 312C443 466 390 635 241 635ZM238 602C329 602 354 454 354 312C354 172 330 22 240 22C152 22 124 173 124 313S148 602 238 602Z" id="g113-49"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="480" vert-adv-y="480"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,38.446,0)"><path d="M275 270C275 450 212 609 64 710L45 686C145 604 203 442 203 270S147 -63 45 -147L64 -170C213 -68 275 89 275 270Z" id="g113-42"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g></svg></td></tr><tr class="fig-image" id="b"><td><object data="https://static.hindawi.com/articles/amete/volume-2016/8701617/figures/8701617.fig.0012b.svgz" name="8701617.fig.0012b" type="image/svg+xml"></object></td></tr><tr class="fig-caption"><td><b>(b) </b>Before VC <svg height="11.5564pt" id="M419" style="vertical-align:-2.26807pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 49.3933 11.5564" 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class="fig-caption"><td><b>(c) </b>After VC <svg height="11.5564pt" id="M420" style="vertical-align:-2.26807pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 43.1299 11.5564" width="43.1299pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M300 -147C201 -63 143 98 143 270S200 602 300 686L282 710C136 610 70 450 70 271V270C70 89 136 -72 282 -170L300 -147Z" id="g113-41"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,4.498,0)"><path d="M495 86L479 114C446 82 419 66 409 66C401 66 401 72 406 97C420 166 436 231 453 297C489 435 454 448 428 448C406 448 384 439 354 422C305 394 222 327 161 247H159L183 345C200 415 194 448 173 448C143 448 82 410 23 351L38 325C64 349 95 371 105 371C111 371 116 365 109 336L25 -4L31 -12C50 -4 77 3 107 9C119 69 132 122 145 168C197 254 321 381 370 381C387 381 393 374 378 305L329 95C309 17 320 -12 345 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descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="480" vert-adv-y="480"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,38.446,0)"><path d="M275 270C275 450 212 609 64 710L45 686C145 604 203 442 203 270S147 -63 45 -147L64 -170C213 -68 275 89 275 270Z" id="g113-42"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g></svg></td></tr><tr class="fig-image" id="d"><td><object data="https://static.hindawi.com/articles/amete/volume-2016/8701617/figures/8701617.fig.0012d.svgz" name="8701617.fig.0012d" type="image/svg+xml"></object></td></tr><tr class="fig-caption"><td><b>(d) </b>After VC <svg height="11.5564pt" id="M421" style="vertical-align:-2.26807pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 49.3933 11.5564" width="49.3933pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M300 -147C201 -63 143 98 143 270S200 602 300 686L282 710C136 610 70 450 70 271V270C70 89 136 -72 282 -170L300 -147Z" id="g113-41"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,4.498,0)"><path d="M495 86L479 114C446 82 419 66 409 66C401 66 401 72 406 97C420 166 436 231 453 297C489 435 454 448 428 448C406 448 384 439 354 422C305 394 222 327 161 247H159L183 345C200 415 194 448 173 448C143 448 82 410 23 351L38 325C64 349 95 371 105 371C111 371 116 365 109 336L25 -4L31 -12C50 -4 77 3 107 9C119 69 132 122 145 168C197 254 321 381 370 381C387 381 393 374 378 305L329 95C309 17 320 -12 345 -12C372 -12 430 19 495 86Z" id="g113-111"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="502" vert-adv-y="502"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,14.656,0)"><path d="M535 323V373H52V323H535ZM535 138V188H52V138H535Z" id="g117-34"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="587" vert-adv-y="587"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,25.919,0)"><path 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<div>Probability density of the <svg height="12.2578pt" id="M417" style="vertical-align:-3.29568pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.96212 28.3419 12.2578" width="28.3419pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M669 636L663 650H260C230 650 221 652 208 675H186C177 621 162 548 144 481L173 479C195 534 211 560 226 578C248 604 266 615 373 615H544C460 511 114 112 23 16L31 0H561C577 34 611 135 622 170L594 182C566 125 544 88 515 65C481 38 416 35 319 35C249 35 197 37 152 41C270 184 542 501 669 636Z" id="g113-91"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="692" vert-adv-y="692"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,8.931,3.132)"><path d="M618 181C565 77 513 26 413 26C264 26 151 150 151 336C151 486 240 625 407 625C516 625 573 582 600 475L634 483C627 540 622 581 613 638C585 643 518 665 435 665C211 665 46 526 46 315C46 158 157 -15 406 -15C480 -15 564 4 594 12C612 43 638 121 651 168L618 181Z" id="g58-65"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="673" vert-adv-y="673"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,15.055,3.132)"><path d="M639 21C616 28 593 39 566 68C542 92 523 117 486 170C457 215 415 282 397 314C472 346 524 398 524 485C524 545 497 590 456 617C417 641 369 650 296 650H43V617C122 612 130 608 130 523V129C130 45 122 38 38 33V0H306V33C225 38 216 45 216 129V282H249C302 282 319 270 336 243C365 195 401 132 436 84C483 18 525 -5 597 -8C610 -9 622 -9 635 -9L639 21ZM216 319V559C216 586 219 596 227 603S250 613 281 613C356 613 429 576 429 469C429 416 413 379 374 348C349 327 316 319 265 319H216Z" id="g58-80"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="632" vert-adv-y="632"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,20.87,3.132)"><path d="M43 650V617C122 612 130 606 130 522V128C130 44 122 37 34 32V0H275C400 0 497 25 573 82C652 142 698 229 698 350C698 445 662 518 613 565C549 625 456 650 327 650H43ZM217 544C217 580 220 591 229 599C240 607 264 613 311 613C380 613 437 599 482 570C561 523 598 436 598 336C598 177 511 40 324 40C248 40 217 61 217 135V544Z" id="g58-66"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="744" vert-adv-y="744"></glyph.data></g></svg> (a-b) before and (c-d) after variance correction (VC) for the influence of the long-term persistence on trend.</div>

Advances in Meteorology

Statistical Uncertainty in Hydrometeorological Trend Analyses

Figure 12