Predictor-Year Subspace Clustering Based Ensemble Prediction of Indian Summer Monsoon

Table 4

Forecast verification statistics for ensemble models during test period 1995–2014.

ResSet	Verification measures	Ensm Model 1	Ensm Model 2	Ensm Model 3
ResSet 1	ACC between actual and predicted rainfall anomalies	0.47	0.48	0.46
	RMSE for forecast (%)	7.6	7.5	7.4
	PY (%) at allowed error 5%	60	65	60
	PY (%) at allowed error 10%	85	85	85
ResSet 2	ACC between actual and predicted rainfall anomalies	0.50	0.51	0.52
	RMSE for forecast (%)	7.2	7.1	7.1
	PY (%) at allowed error 5%	55	55	55
	PY (%) at allowed error 10%	85	75	75
ResSet 3	ACC between actual and predicted rainfall anomalies	0.50	0.59	0.58
	RMSE for forecast (%)	8.3	7.8	7.8
	PY (%) at allowed error 5%	65	65	65
	PY (%) at allowed error 10%	75	75	75