Research on Historical and Future Spatial-Temporal Variability of Precipitation in China

Table 5

Decadal change of stable area and active area of each type of zone simulated by different climate models.

Class	Time	M1		M2		M3		M4		M5		Mean
		S	A	S	A	S	A	S	A	S	A	S	A
I	2010s	18.3	13.7	21.8	8.3	21.9	9.6	21.3	6.5	21.1	13.1	20.9	10.2
	2020s	20.0	12.9	20.9	9.9	20.5	11.8	21.5	7.9	22.0	9.4	21.0	10.4
	2030s	18.4	13.8	21.8	11.1	20.4	12.0	20.6	7.8	20.7	9.7	20.4	10.9
	2040s	19.3	13.1	21.4	9.4	21.2	8.7	20.1	7.1	21.6	10.6	20.7	9.8
II	2010s	3.1	35.3	6.1	27.2	3.9	26.0	6.6	24.2	2.8	30.7	28.7	4.5
	2020s	3.8	31.3	3.7	31.0	3.7	30.9	4.8	24.3	6.1	27.5	29.0	4.4
	2030s	2.9	34.9	4.8	29.8	3.2	28.8	4.8	28.9	5.7	27.7	30.0	4.3
	2040s	2.6	30.4	5.5	29.4	3.6	22.5	4.8	22.9	2.9	28.0	26.6	3.9
III	2010s	9.5	38.2	9.6	31.5	12.4	33.5	10.4	32.8	9.0	31.7	10.2	33.5
	2020s	12.3	32.6	6.9	36.4	6.9	36.8	12.8	39.0	7.9	30.7	9.4	35.1
	2030s	9.8	39.3	5.9	34.3	8.2	39.7	10.3	34.8	9.6	31.5	8.7	35.9
	2040s	8.8	37.3	8.1	32.6	14.1	31.4	13.8	29.6	13.3	27.8	11.6	31.7
IV	2010s	18.1	18.6	22.8	14.2	19.6	16.9	22.4	15.7	22.8	15.4	21.1	16.2
	2020s	19.3	13.5	23.3	17.9	22.1	17.5	14.1	22.8	24.4	12.7	20.6	16.9
	2030s	17.8	18.0	23.4	17.9	18.7	22.4	22.3	16.6	23.2	15.1	21.1	18.0
	2040s	21.0	19.7	23.8	14.1	21.8	17.6	24.7	13.7	24.7	9.7	23.2	15.0

M1~M5 represent GFDL-ESM2M, HadGEM2-ES, IPSL-CM5A-LR, MIROC-ESM-CHEM, and NorESM1-M, respectively.