A Bayesian Network-Based Probabilistic Framework for Drought Forecasting and Outlook

<table class="table-group" id="tab3"><tr><td><table class="table"><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="2"><hr/></td></tr><tr class="thead"><td class="align_left">Drought condition</td><td class="align_center">SPI values </td></tr><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="2"><hr/></td></tr><tr><td class="align_left">Mild drought (D1)</td><td class="align_center">0~−0.99</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left">Moderate drought (D2)</td><td class="align_center">−1.00~−1.49</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left">Severe drought (D3)</td><td class="align_center">−0.50~−1.99</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left">Extreme drought (D4)</td><td class="align_center">−2.00 and less</td></tr><tr class="table-tr"><td colspan="2"><hr class="tbody-hr"/></td></tr></table></td></tr></table>

Drought classification (drought intensity determined from [<a href="/journals/amete/2016/9472605/#B38">38</a>]).

Advances in Meteorology

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Table 3

Table 3: A Bayesian Network-Based Probabilistic Framework for Drought Forecasting and Outlook 