Probabilistic Interval Forecasts: An Individual Differences Approach to Understanding Forecast Communication

<div>The percentage of participants who took precautionary action in point estimate and predictive interval conditions over forecasts in Experiment 1 (a) and Experiment 2 (b). The threshold temperature was inside the predictive interval for the 33°F (0.6°C), 26°F (−3.3°C), and 99°F (37.2°C) forecasts. Stars indicate statistically significant differences.</div>

Advances in Meteorology

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Figure 3

Figure 3: Probabilistic Interval Forecasts: An Individual Differences Approach to Understanding Forecast Communication 