Probabilistic Interval Forecasts: An Individual Differences Approach to Understanding Forecast Communication

<table class="figure-group"><tr class="fig-image" id="a"><td><object data="https://static.hindawi.com/articles/amete/volume-2017/3932565/figures/3932565.fig.004a.svgz" name="3932565.fig.004a" type="image/svg+xml"></object></td></tr><tr class="fig-caption"><td><b>(a) </b>Predictive interval condition</td></tr><tr class="fig-image" id="b"><td><object data="https://static.hindawi.com/articles/amete/volume-2017/3932565/figures/3932565.fig.004b.svgz" name="3932565.fig.004b" type="image/svg+xml"></object></td></tr><tr class="fig-caption"><td><b>(b) </b>Point estimate condition</td></tr></table>

<div>Mean percent chance estimates by participants for values within the predictive interval in Experiment 1.</div>

Advances in Meteorology

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Figure 4

Figure 4: Probabilistic Interval Forecasts: An Individual Differences Approach to Understanding Forecast Communication 