Early Detection of Baby-Rain-Cell Aloft in a Severe Storm and Risk Projection for Urban Flash Flood

<div>The feature of the event 15 observed by Tanokuchi radar; (a) Doppler velocity and schematic diagram of tilting vortex tube, (b) vorticity calculated using Doppler velocity data, (c) <svg height="12.1893pt" id="M50" style="vertical-align:-3.22718pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.96212 22.1308 12.1893" width="22.1308pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M669 636L663 650H260C230 650 221 652 208 675H186C177 621 162 548 144 481L173 479C195 534 211 560 226 578C248 604 266 615 373 615H544C460 511 114 112 23 16L31 0H561C577 34 611 135 622 170L594 182C566 125 544 88 515 65C481 38 416 35 319 35C249 35 197 37 152 41C270 184 542 501 669 636Z" id="g113-91"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="692" vert-adv-y="692"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,8.931,3.132)"><path d="M43 650V617C122 612 130 606 130 522V128C130 44 122 37 34 32V0H275C400 0 497 25 573 82C652 142 698 229 698 350C698 445 662 518 613 565C549 625 456 650 327 650H43ZM217 544C217 580 220 591 229 599C240 607 264 613 311 613C380 613 437 599 482 570C561 523 598 436 598 336C598 177 511 40 324 40C248 40 217 61 217 135V544Z" id="g58-66"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="744" vert-adv-y="744"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,15.638,3.132)"><path d="M639 21C616 28 593 39 566 68C542 92 523 117 486 170C457 215 415 282 397 314C472 346 524 398 524 485C524 545 497 590 456 617C417 641 369 650 296 650H43V617C122 612 130 608 130 523V129C130 45 122 38 38 33V0H306V33C225 38 216 45 216 129V282H249C302 282 319 270 336 243C365 195 401 132 436 84C483 18 525 -5 597 -8C610 -9 622 -9 635 -9L639 21ZM216 319V559C216 586 219 596 227 603S250 613 281 613C356 613 429 576 429 469C429 416 413 379 374 348C349 327 316 319 265 319H216Z" id="g58-80"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="632" vert-adv-y="632"></glyph.data></g></svg>, and (d) vertical velocity computed with dual Doppler analysis using Katsuragi and Tanokuchi radar data. The columns described in black color show the region of the high <svg height="12.1893pt" id="M51" style="vertical-align:-3.22718pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.96212 22.1308 12.1893" width="22.1308pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M669 636L663 650H260C230 650 221 652 208 675H186C177 621 162 548 144 481L173 479C195 534 211 560 226 578C248 604 266 615 373 615H544C460 511 114 112 23 16L31 0H561C577 34 611 135 622 170L594 182C566 125 544 88 515 65C481 38 416 35 319 35C249 35 197 37 152 41C270 184 542 501 669 636Z" id="g113-91"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="692" vert-adv-y="692"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,8.931,3.132)"><path d="M43 650V617C122 612 130 606 130 522V128C130 44 122 37 34 32V0H275C400 0 497 25 573 82C652 142 698 229 698 350C698 445 662 518 613 565C549 625 456 650 327 650H43ZM217 544C217 580 220 591 229 599C240 607 264 613 311 613C380 613 437 599 482 570C561 523 598 436 598 336C598 177 511 40 324 40C248 40 217 61 217 135V544Z" id="g58-66"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="744" vert-adv-y="744"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,15.638,3.132)"><path d="M639 21C616 28 593 39 566 68C542 92 523 117 486 170C457 215 415 282 397 314C472 346 524 398 524 485C524 545 497 590 456 617C417 641 369 650 296 650H43V617C122 612 130 608 130 523V129C130 45 122 38 38 33V0H306V33C225 38 216 45 216 129V282H249C302 282 319 270 336 243C365 195 401 132 436 84C483 18 525 -5 597 -8C610 -9 622 -9 635 -9L639 21ZM216 319V559C216 586 219 596 227 603S250 613 281 613C356 613 429 576 429 469C429 416 413 379 374 348C349 327 316 319 265 319H216Z" id="g58-80"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="632" vert-adv-y="632"></glyph.data></g></svg> column (b, c).</div>

Advances in Meteorology

fig15

Figure 15

Figure 15: Early Detection of Baby-Rain-Cell Aloft in a Severe Storm and Risk Projection for Urban Flash Flood 