Research Article
Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction Using EEMD-LSSVM Model
Table 6
Performance comparison of different models for forecasting wind speed (Case Two).
| Prediction horizon | Indicators | LSSVM | ARIMA | EMD-LSSVM | BP | EEMD-ARIMA | EEMD-LSSVM |
| One-step | RMSE | 0.4599 | 0.4719 | 0.2573 | 0.4783 | 0.1681 | 0.1666 | MAPE | 11.96% | 11.77% | 5.315% | 12.60% | 4.395% | 3.803% | MAE | 0.3437 | 0.3467 | 0.1825 | 0.3574 | 0.1202 | 0.1178 | CC | 0.9790 | 0.9777 | 0.9934 | 0.9772 | 0.9972 | 0.9972 | SSE | 30.4624 | 32.0723 | 9.5337 | 32.9460 | 4.0695 | 3.9988 | SDE | 0.4597 | 0.4704 | 0.2572 | 0.4783 | 0.1686 | 0.1664 |
| Two-step | RMSE | 0.7006 | 0.7294 | 0.3611 | 0.7222 | 0.3166 | 0.2288 | MAPE | 18.69% | 18.91% | 7.926% | 18.78% | 7.043% | 5.905% | MAE | 0.5253 | 0.5435 | 0.2723 | 0.5353 | 0.2223 | 0.1786 | CC | 0.9493 | 0.9454 | 0.9869 | 0.9461 | 0.9911 | 0.9947 | SSE | 70.1998 | 76.0851 | 18.6418 | 74.5792 | 14.3304 | 7.4848 | SDE | 0.7015 | 0.7250 | 0.3557 | 0.7217 | 0.3146 | 0.2282 |
| Three-step | RMSE | 0.8728 | 0.9032 | 0.4525 | 0.8907 | 0.3688 | 0.3023 | MAPE | 23.26% | 23.50% | 9.964% | 22.77% | 9.770% | 7.153% | MAE | 0.6491 | 0.6754 | 0.3459 | 0.6569 | 0.2820 | 0.2290 | CC | 0.9183 | 0.9142 | 0.9794 | 0.9157 | 0.9860 | 0.9906 | SSE | 108.1625 | 115.8408 | 29.0710 | 112.6429 | 19.3140 | 12.9783 | SDE | 0.8789 | 0.8942 | 0.4418 | 0.8906 | 0.3695 | 0.3018 |
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