Research Article

Climate Change Indicators and Spatiotemporal Shift in Monsoon Patterns in Pakistan

Table 4

Extent of spatial shift of monsoon over northern monsoon belt of Pakistan for different thresholds of rainy and moderate to heavy rainfall.

YearArea (km2)Difference from baseline area (km2)Average area (2010–2017) (km2)Difference (km2)Shift (km2)
Advancing sideReceding side

≥2.5 mm/day (light rainfall)
Baseline (1998–2017)225,322281,355+56,03311,7527,523
2010441,384216,062
2011270,48745,165
2012269,65944,337
2013236,78811,466
2014203,541−21,781
2015420,155194,833
2016243,27217,950
2017165,551−59,771

≥4 mm/day (moderate to heavy rainfall)
Baseline (1998–2017)158,838133,56725,27114,388
2010292,311133,473
2011153,214−5,624
201285,961−72,877
2013137,429−21,409
2014116,010−42,828
2015110,730−48,108
201692,809−66,029
201780,073−78,765