Drought Early Warning and the Timing of Range Managers’ Drought Response
Table 2
Factors affecting respondents’ drought response coping actions and timing.
Purchase supplemental feed (y/n)
Early graze fall/winter pastures (y/n)
Destock (y/n)
Cull breeding herd (y/n)
Timing—purchasing feed
Timing—early grazing
Timing—destocking
Timing—culling breeding herd
SPEI
−2.87 (224)
−1.54 (228)
−1.55 (224)
−2.17 (221)
1.52 (112)
1.78 (111)
−0.31 (97)
−1.12 (74)
Observed decreased topsoil moisture (y/n)
0.65 (221)
2.12 (225)
1.59 (222)
Omit (210)
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Observed delayed/lack of plant emergence (y/n)
0.81 (212)
1.01 (215)
0.42 (213)
0.87 (210)
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Observed delayed/lack of plant growth (y/n)
−0.06 (219)
2.19 (223)
1.45 (219)
−0.05 (217)
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Observed deteriorating range conditions (y/n)
0.85 (218)
3.28 (222)
1.96 (217)
2.27 (214)
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Observed decreased forage productivity (y/n)
0.62 (217)
1.71 (221)
1.13 (219)
0.86 (216)
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Timing of decreased topsoil moisture
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
0.00 (111)
0.00 (110)
0.00 (97)
−0.00 (72)
Timing of delayed/lack of plant emergence
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
0.00 (109)
−0.00 (105)
−0.00 (94)
−0.00 (71)
Timing of delayed/lack of plant growth
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
0.00 (106)
0.00 (109)
−0.00 (96)
−0.00 (73)
Timing of deteriorating range conditions
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
0.00 (109)
−0.00 (110)
−0.00 (96)
−0.01 (73)
Timing of decreased forage productivity
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
0.00 (110)
−0.00 (108)
−0.00 (95)
−0.00 (72)
Use/influence on-farm monitoring
−0.06 (213)
−0.09 (216)
0.07 (212)
0.14 (210)
−0.05 (108)
0.33 (107)
−0.09 (92)
0.01 (68)
Use/influence own assessment of conditions
−0.21 (212)
0.04 (215)
0.07 (211)
−0.11 (208)
−0.04 (107)
−0.13 (108)
−0.39 (93)
−0.23 (68)
Use/influence local extension
0.37 (213)
0.04 (216)
−0.09 (212)
0.15 (209)
0.11 (107)
0.13 (108)
0.06 (92)
−0.13 (67)
Use/influence NWS
0.25 (214)
0.15 (217)
0.08 (213)
0.09 (210)
0.09 (108)
0.14 (108)
−0.06 (93)
−0.11 (68)
Use/influence U.S. drought monitor
0.30 (212)
0.04 (215)
0.24 (211)
0.13 (208)
0.12 (106)
−0.09 (107)
0.03 (92)
−0.10 (68)
Use/influence USDA resources
0.43 (213)
0.15 (216)
0.16 (212)
0.31 (209)
−0.09 (107)
−0.18 (107)
0.09 (93)
0.04 (68)
Use/influence TV/radio
−0.01 (211)
0.09 (214)
0.16 (210)
0.00 (207)
−0.04 (106)
0.08 (108)
0.10 (93)
−0.41 (68)
Purchase supplemental feed (y/n)
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
−0.26 (104)
0.21 (90)
0.58 (70)
Early graze fall/winter pastures (y/n)
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
−0.32 (108)
n/a
1.17 (92)
−0.41 (70)
Destock (y/n)
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
−0.19 (104)
−0.12 (103)
n/a
−0.33 (70)
Cull breeding herd (y/n)
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
−0.039 (106)
−0.35 (104)
−0.17 (89)
n/a
Reporting coefficients listed in log-odds units, significance of test that coefficient is different from 0, and (n). For SPEI, the coefficient is determined without other covariates. For other predictors, coefficients are determined when controlling for SPEI. Data sources: 2016 survey, SPEI (droughtatlas.unl.edu). ;.
