Research Article

Drought Early Warning and the Timing of Range Managers’ Drought Response

Table 3

Factors affecting the timing of observed conditions.

Timing decreased topsoil moistureTiming delayed/lack of plant emergenceTiming delayed/lack of plant growthTiming deteriorating range conditionsTiming decreased forage productivity

SPEI102.27 (250)122.14 (239)139.72 (248)113.26 (242)90.03 (243)
Use/influence on-farm monitoring−3.80 (237)8.40 (227)−3.58 (236)−2.67 (230)0.51 (231)
Use/influence own assessment of conditions−8.38 (236)−3.00 (225)−6.66 (234)−7.99 (229)−5.56 (229)
Use/influence local extension3.93 (237)2.76 (226)−8.48 (235)5.39 (230)3.29 (230)
Use/influence NWS1.33 (238)−7.48 (227)−6.51 (236)−5.54 (231)−11.84 (231)
Use/influence U.S. drought monitor−0.73 (236)−5.98 (225)−4.74 (234)−3.21 (229)−4.90 (229)
Use/influence USDA resources−1.13 (237)−10.72 (226)−12.03 (235)−2.12 (230)−1.80 (230)
Use/influence TV/radio2.39 (235)−4.64 (224)−8.18 (233)1.73 (228)−1.35 (228)

Reporting coefficients, significance of test that coefficient is different from 0, and (n). For SPEI, the coefficient is determined without other covariates. For other predictors, coefficients are determined when controlling for SPEI. Data sources: 2016 survey, SPEI (droughtatlas.unl.edu). ; .