Research Article
Water Supply Risk Analysis Based on Runoff Sequence Simulation with Change Point under Changing Environment
Table 3
Performance of generated monthly series for Panjiakou reservoir.
| Water supply guarantee rate (%) | Ecological water level requirements | | | | | | DRI | SUI |
| 75 | Min | 0.490 | 0.704 | 0.075 | 2.053 | 0.699 | 0.711 | 0.011 | Suitable | 0.372 | 0.621 | 0.054 | 3.118 | 0.743 | 0.772 | 0.005 | Ideal | 0.216 | 0.493 | 0.040 | 5.315 | 0.778 | 0.841 | 0.002 |
| 85 | Min | 0.676 | 0.821 | 0.098 | 1.442 | 0.635 | 0.620 | 0.024 | Suitable | 0.504 | 0.718 | 0.075 | 2.240 | 0.678 | 0.699 | 0.012 | Ideal | 0.290 | 0.558 | 0.045 | 4.627 | 0.753 | 0.806 | 0.003 |
| 95 | Min | 0.858 | 0.929 | 0.125 | 0.924 | 0.571 | 0.529 | 0.046 | Suitable | 0.673 | 0.821 | 0.094 | 1.719 | 0.620 | 0.618 | 0.024 | Ideal | 0.379 | 0.629 | 0.058 | 3.746 | 0.704 | 0.756 | 0.006 |
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