Research Article

Water Supply Risk Analysis Based on Runoff Sequence Simulation with Change Point under Changing Environment

Table 3

Performance of generated monthly series for Panjiakou reservoir.

Water supply guarantee rate (%)Ecological water level requirementsDRISUI

75Min0.4900.7040.0752.0530.6990.7110.011
Suitable0.3720.6210.0543.1180.7430.7720.005
Ideal0.2160.4930.0405.3150.7780.8410.002

85Min0.6760.8210.0981.4420.6350.6200.024
Suitable0.5040.7180.0752.2400.6780.6990.012
Ideal0.2900.5580.0454.6270.7530.8060.003

95Min0.8580.9290.1250.9240.5710.5290.046
Suitable0.6730.8210.0941.7190.6200.6180.024
Ideal0.3790.6290.0583.7460.7040.7560.006