Impact of Stochastically Perturbed Terminal Velocities on Convective-Scale Ensemble Forecasts of Precipitation

<div>Vertical cross-sections of qr (red), qs (green), qh (blue), perturbation potential temperature (black contour), and wind (vector, for the absolute vertical velocity greater than 1.0 m·s−1) at T = 2 h in the X-Z plane along (a) y = 60 km and (b) y = 58 km for (a) LINref and (b) MY2ref, respectively. Both X-Z planes cross the maximum updraft centers in supercell. Area A denotes the updraft core; area B denotes the hail falling outside the updraft core.</div>

Advances in Meteorology

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Figure 3

Figure 3: Impact of Stochastically Perturbed Terminal Velocities on Convective-Scale Ensemble Forecasts of Precipitation 