Impact of Stochastically Perturbed Terminal Velocities on Convective-Scale Ensemble Forecasts of Precipitation

Figure 5

(a) RMSEs of the ensemble mean (solid) and ensemble spread (dashed) for hourly precipitation, (b) the logarithmic bias of hourly precipitation averaged over all members and all times, (c) the time averaged hourly precipitation frequency throughout the entire ensemble, (d) the areal accumulated hourly precipitation where the values for LINprt_stat and LINprt_sym are averaged over all members, and (e) the reliability diagram for LINprt_stat (solid) and LINprt_sym (dashed). The MY2 scheme serves as the truth.

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