Impact of Stochastically Perturbed Terminal Velocities on Convective-Scale Ensemble Forecasts of Precipitation

Figure 6

(a) RMSEs of the ensemble mean (solid) and ensemble spread (dashed) of hourly precipitation in the Alabama case, (b) averaged areal accumulated precipitation of ensemble members and observations, (c) the logarithmic bias of hourly precipitation averaged over all ensemble members and times, (d) the observed precipitation frequency (black) and the corresponding ensemble frequencies at 03 UTC, the reliability diagrams for (e) LINens (solid) and LINprt_ref (dashed) and (f) MY2ens (solid) and MY2prt_ref (dashed).

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