Bayesian Spatial and Trend Analysis on Ozone Extreme Data in South Korea: 1991–2015

Table 6

Predictive performance measures of various models using 5 years’ return level as observed maximum ozone value.

Performance measures	Schlather’s model	Spatial GEV (MLE)	Bayesian kriging	Extremal-t model
MSE	0.006	0.014	0.004	0.007
RMSE	0.077	0.118	0.063	0.083
MAE	0.008	0.089	0.002	0.009
MAPE	9.184	14.338	9.034	10.336
BIAS	−0.008	−0.030	−0.078	−0.009
rBIAS	−0.092	−0.118	−0.088	−0.104
rMSEP	1.004	1.182	1.003	1.009