Research Article
Solar GHI Ensemble Prediction Based on a Meteorological Model and Method Kalman Filter
Table 2
Statistical indexes for solar GHI different forecasts.
| Forecasting method and member | Bias [W/m2] (Relative bias) | RMSE [W/m2] (Relative RMSE) | CORR [−] |
| | 49.7 (28.8%) | 102.9 (59.6%) | 0.950 | | −2.4 (−1.4%) | 79.1 (45.8%) | 0.951 | | 51.4 (29.7%) | 118.9 (68.9%) | 0.929 | | −6.0 (-3.5%) | 94.6 (54.7%) | 0.930 | | 50.8 (29.4%) | 129.8 (75.2%) | 0.911 | | −8.5 (−4.9%) | 106.6 (61.7) | 0.911 | Ensemble mean | 50.6 (29.3%) | 104.9 (60.7%) | 0.946 | Ensemble mean | −5.6 (−3.2%) | 81.8 (47.4%) | 0.947 | Persistent | 0.3 (0.15%) | 191.7 (110.9%) | 0.718 |
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