Study on the Impact of Future Climate Change on Extreme Meteorological and Hydrological Elements in the Upper Reaches of the Minjiang River

Table 10

Variation of extreme runoff in the upper reaches of the Minjiang River from 2021 to 2050 (%).

	Heishui			Shaba			Zipingpu
	RCP2.6	RCP4.5	RCP8.5	RCP2.6	RCP4.5	RCP8.5	RCP2.6	RCP4.5	RCP8.5
AM	−41.1	−41.8	−38.6	−34.3	−35.1	−32.5	−36.5	−36.7	−34.8
Q90	19.5	17.5	23.3	27.1	24	30.2	2.5	0.6	4.2
Q95	5.2	3.3	8.3	10.6	9.5	13.2	−9.1	−9.3	−6.3
Q99	−17.7	−18.7	−15.6	−13.7	−14.4	−11.5	−24	−23.7	−21.2
Q10	102.4	121.8	130.5	71.1	82.6	93.8	46	48	55.4
Q5	75.2	89.8	99.5	52.7	56.6	70.3	29.7	26	39.5
Q1	51.1	60.9	67.9	29.3	33.1	42.2	16.4	14	26.2