Forecasting Confirmed Malaria Cases in Northwestern Province of Zambia: A Time Series Analysis Using 2014–2020 Routine Data

Table 2

Forecast malaria cases for 2021 in the northwestern province, Zambia.

Month (the year 2021)	Forecast	Lower limit	Upper limit
January	122,049.90	121,495.80	162,604.00
February	123,641.20	108,579.60	178,702.80
March	118,253.70	80,397.05	176,110.30
April	99,178.90	46,707.79	159,650.00
May	70,390.03	14,445.38	136,334.70
June	47,424.95	—	112,919.00
July	29,822.21	—	94,503.10
August	20,056.04	—	83,788.29
September	16,845.45	—	81,019.86
October	18,681.90	—	84,604.55
November	29,024.87	—	92,084.34
December	28,043.86	—	101,001.30
Total	723,413.01	371,625.62	1,463,322.24
Mean	60,284.42	30,968.80	121,943.52