Widening Socioeconomic, Racial, and Geographic Disparities in HIV/AIDS Mortality in the United States, 1987–2011
Table 3
Poisson regression models showing relative risk (RR) of HIV/AIDS mortality according to socioeconomic deprivation, urbanization level, primary medical care shortage areas, health uninsurance rate, and racial composition, United States, 1992–1995 and 2003–2007.
2003–2007
1992–1995
Age-adjusted
Covariate-adjusted
Age-adjusted
Covariate-adjusted
RR
95% CI
RR
95% CI
RR
95% CI
RR
95% CI
Total US population
Socioeconomic deprivation index
Quintile 1 (low SES)
4.40
4.27–4.53
2.25
2.17–2.34
2.19
2.15–2.22
0.92
0.90–0.94
Quintiles 2–4 (middle SES)
2.13
2.07–2.19
1.68
1.64–1.73
1.44
1.42–1.46
0.90
0.89–0.92
Quintile 5 (high SES)
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
Urbanization level
Large metro. counties1
3.20
2.87–3.57
3.88
3.48–4.33
4.04
3.71–4.40
6.73
6.18–7.33
Medium metro. counties2
2.18
1.95–2.43
2.98
2.67–3.33
2.43
2.23–2.65
4.93
4.53–5.38
Small metro counties3
1.58
1.41–1.77
2.09
1.86–2.34
1.68
1.53–1.83
3.31
3.04–3.62
Urban nonmetro. counties4
1.53
1.36–1.71
1.71
1.53–1.92
1.42
1.30–1.55
2.05
1.88–2.24
Rural counties5
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
Health professional shortage area
Underserved
2.27
2.21–2.34
1.28
1.24–1.32
2.27
2.23–2.32
1.22
1.20–1.25
Not underserved
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
Health uninsurance rate6
1.44
1.43–1.45
1.14
1.12–1.15
1.39
1.39–1.40
1.45
1.44–1.46
Percent of black population7
1.50
1.49–1.51
1.38
1.38–1.39
1.33
1.32–1.33
1.28
1.27–1.28
Total black population
Socioeconomic deprivation index
Quintile 1 (low SES)
2.47
2.38–2.58
2.17
2.06–2.28
1.31
1.27–1.35
1.22
1.18–1.27
Quintiles 2–4 (middle SES)
1.63
1.57–1.69
1.55
1.49–1.61
1.02
1.00–1.05
0.95
0.93–0.98
Quintile 5 (high SES)
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
Urbanization level
Large metro. counties
2.37
2.03–2.78
3.49
2.98–4.08
3.72
3.19–4.33
4.58
3.93–5.34
Medium metro. counties
1.94
1.66–2.28
2.95
2.51–3.46
2.49
2.13–2.90
3.36
2.88–3.92
Small metro. counties
1.46
1.24–1.71
2.05
1.74–2.41
1.52
1.30–1.78
1.95
1.67–2.29
Urban nonmetro. counties
1.54
1.31–1.81
1.73
1.47–2.03
1.44
1.23–1.69
1.56
1.34–1.83
Rural counties
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
Health professional shortage area
Underserved
1.76
1.69–1.84
1.21
1.16–1.26
1.72
1.66–1.78
1.32
1.27–1.37
Not underserved
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
Health uninsurance rate
1.28
1.27–1.30
1.03
1.01–1.05
1.20
1.19–1.22
1.12
1.11–1.14
Percent of black population
1.17
1.16–1.18
1.10
1.10–1.11
1.08
1.07–1.08
1.03
1.02–1.04
Black male
Socioeconomic deprivation index
Quintile 1 (low SES)
2.42
2.30–2.54
2.10
1.97–2.24
1.32
1.28–1.36
1.23
1.18–1.29
Quintiles 2–4 (middle SES)
1.65
1.57–1.73
1.57
1.49–1.65
1.07
1.04–1.10
1.01
0.97–1.04
Quintile 5 (high SES)
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
Urbanization level
Large metro. counties
2.48
2.04–3.00
3.59
2.96–4.35
3.85
3.23–4.59
4.71
3.95–5.62
Medium metro. counties
2.07
1.70–2.51
3.09
2.54–3.76
2.55
2.13–3.04
3.39
2.84–4.05
Small metro. counties
1.54
1.26–1.88
2.17
1.78–2.65
1.58
1.32–1.89
2.03
1.70–2.44
Urban nonmetro. counties
1.55
1.28–1.89
1.76
1.45–2.15
1.45
1.21–1.74
1.59
1.33–1.91
Rural counties
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
Health professional shortage area
Underserved
1.74
1.65–1.83
1.19
1.13–1.26
1.75
1.68–1.83
1.32
1.27–1.38
Not underserved
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
Health uninsurance rate
1.27
1.25–1.29
1.02
1.01–1.05
1.19
1.17–1.20
1.10
1.08–1.11
Percent of black population
1.18
1.17–1.19
1.12
1.11–1.13
1.10
1.09–1.10
1.05
1.05–1.06
Black female
Socioeconomic deprivation index
Quintile 1 (low SES)
2.60
2.43–2.79
2.30
2.10–2.52
1.35
1.28–1.43
1.23
1.14–1.33
Quintiles 2–4 (middle SES)
1.61
1.51–1.72
1.53
1.42–1.65
0.93
0.88–0.98
0.84
0.79–0.89
Quintile 5 (high SES)
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
Urbanization level
Large metro. counties
2.43
1.85–3.20
3.70
2.81–4.87
3.86
2.83–5.28
4.97
3.64–6.80
Medium metro. counties
1.85
1.41–2.44
2.91
2.20–3.84
2.48
1.81–3.39
3.61
2.63–4.94
Small metro. counties
1.36
1.02–1.81
1.94
1.46–2.58
1.38
1.00–1.91
1.82
1.32–2.53
Urban nonmetro. counties
1.53
1.16–2.03
1.71
1.29–2.27
1.40
1.01–1.92
1.48
1.08–2.05
Rural counties
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
Health professional shortage area
Underserved
1.84
1.71–1.98
1.24
1.14–1.34
1.71
1.58–1.84
1.30
1.20–1.41
Not underserved
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
1.00
Reference
Health uninsurance rate
1.32
1.29–1.35
1.05
1.02–1.08
1.29
1.26–1.32
1.21
1.18–1.25
Percent of black population
1.16
1.15–1.18
1.08
1.07–1.10
1.06
1.05–1.07
0.99
0.98–1.00
1Counties in metropolitan areas with 1 million population or more. 2Counties in metropolitan areas of 250,000–1,000,000 population. 3Counties in metropolitan areas with population < 250,000. 4Urban nonmetropolitan counties consisting mostly of small urban towns with population < 20,000. 5Rural counties with no places with a population of ≥2,500. 6Relative risk associated with each 5-percentage-point increase in the proportion of population without health insurance. 7Relative risk associated with each 10-percentage-point increase in the proportion of the black population in a county.