Research Article

Modeling Count Outcomes from HIV Risk Reduction Interventions: A Comparison of Competing Statistical Models for Count Responses

Table 2

The estimated parameters, coefficients of the Poisson, NB, ZIP, and ZINB models for all vaginal sex episodes outcome at 12 months.

ParameterPoissonNegative binomialZero-inflated poissonZero-inflated negative binomial
PoissonLogitNBLogit

Intercept 1.5424* 1.7947* 2.0453−0.8089 2.0630*−0.1824
Age 0.0491* 0.0290 0.0392*−0.0476 0.0252−0.0781
white 0.1406* 0.1914 0.1077*−0.0588 0.1863 0.0773
Multiracial 0.4249* 0.3576** 0.3165*−0.8917 0.2679−1.0362
Other race 0.0275−0.0222 0.2054 0.1203 0.0388 0.3403
Hispanic−0.2908*−0.1882−0.1976* 0.5028−0.1406 0.4350
Poverty 0.2060* 0.2899* 0.1600*−0.3786 0.2232*−0.4106
Baseline 0.0163* 0.0181* 0.0147*−0.0206* 0.0159*−0.0227
Condition−0.1542*−0.2062**−0.1400* 0.1227−0.1911* 0.0813
Dispersion 1.3873* 0.8370*
Lagrange multiplier63120.17*
−2 Log Likelihood9244.293512.267344.303474.70
Parameter9101819
AIC 9262.29 3532.26 7380.003512.70
BIC 9299.83 3573.98 7455.103591.90
Vuong test 7.6369*3.2400*

*Indicates that the coefficients are significant at 5%; **the coefficients are significant at 10%.