Research Article

Comparison of Primary Models to Predict Microbial Growth by the Plate Count and Absorbance Methods

Table 5

Growth rate values and their 95% confidence limits and coefficients of determination () and RMSE of fit obtained with three-phase linear, Gompertz, and Baranyi growth models for the growth curves of Escherichia coli CECT 515 at 37°C in pH 5 TSB+YE inoculating 102, 104, and 106 CFU mL−1.

Initial concentration (CFU mL−1)Three-phase linear modelGompertz modelBaranyi model
Growth rateRMSEGrowth rateRMSEGrowth rateRMSE
(OD units h−1)(OD units h−1)(OD units h−1)

1020.076 (0.073–0.078)0.9880.04250.094 (0.092–0.097)0.9970.03460.0910.9930.0516
0.086 (0.084–0.088)0.9940.02950.100 (0.097–0.102)0.9980.02960.1120.9950.0469
0.091 (0.089–0.093)0.9950.02840.106 (0.103–0.108)0.9980.02830.1120.9950.0478
0.100 (0.096–0.105)0.9820.05160.118 (0.115–0.121)0.9980.03170.1120.9950.0456
0.082 (0.078–0.085)0.9900.04140.100 (0.097–0.102)0.9980.03190.1160.9960.0412
0.091 (0.088–0.094)0.9880.04780.114 (0.112–0.116)0.9990.02030.1150.9950.0453
0.095 (0.093–0.097)0.9940.03480.113 (0.112–0.115)0.9990.01790.1130.9950.0482
0.097 (0.095–0.099)0.9960.02300.111 (0.109–0.113)0.9990.02390.1130.9950.0465
0.102 (0.100–0.104)0.9980.01730.116 (0.114–0.118)0.9990.02040.1110.9950.0489
0.087 (0.085–0.089)0.9940.03000.100 (0.098–0.103)0.9980.02970.1140.9950.0475
0.109 (0.107–0.111)0.9970.02150.125 (0.122–0.127)0.9990.02170.1090.9950.0458
0.111 (0.108–0.114)0.9950.02850.126 (0.124–0.129)0.9990.02340.1110.9950.0444
0.114 (0.111–0.117)0.9940.03190.132 (0.129–0.136)0.9990.02690.1130.9940.0499
0.110 (0.106–0.114)0.9860.05160.132 (0.129–0.136)0.9990.02860.1090.9930.0543
0.116 (0.113–0.119)0.9940.03300.136 (0.133–0.139)0.9990.02240.1040.9940.0516
0.104 (0.101–0.106)0.9950.03180.120 (0.117–0.123)0.9980.02920.0030.1560.9944
0.107 (0.105–0.109)0.9970.02230.122 (0.120–0.124)0.9990.02150.1100.9950.0465
0.106 (0.104–0.109)0.9940.03320.122 (0.120–0.125)0.9990.02970.1150.9960.0443
0.106 (0.103–0.108)0.9930.03780.123 (0.120–0.126)0.9990.02640.1090.9950.0456
0.112 (0.106–0.118)0.9770.06290.136 (0.132–0.139)0.9990.02820.0910.9930.0501
0.085 (0.083–0.087)0.9900.04150.106 (0.104–0.108)0.9990.02400.0830.9910.0576
0.108 (0.106–0.110)0.9970.02230.121 (0.119–0.123)0.9990.02170.1030.9940.0499
0.084 (0.081–0.088)0.9840.05070.098 (0.095–0.102)0.9960.04400.0980.9940.0500
0.108 (0.106–0.110)0.9960.02600.125 (0.122–0.128)0.9990.02610.1090.9950.0458
0.108 (0.106–0.111)0.9960.02770.125 (0.123–0.128)0.9990.02620.0980.9930.0525
0.110 (0.106–0.114)0.9880.04840.132 (0.129–0.135)0.9990.02570.1010.9940.0498
0.109 (0.106–0.111)0.9940.03380.128 (0.125–0.131)0.9990.02590.1020.9930.0517
0.102 (0.100–0.104)0.9950.02640.116 (0.114–0.119)0.9990.02520.1020.9930.0536
0.104 (0.101–0.108)0.9910.03940.121 (0.118–0.124)0.9980.03290.1040.9940.0499
0.118 (0.115–0.121)0.9960.02750.137 (0.135–0.140)0.9990.02160.0950.9930.0510

1040.090 (0.088–0.093)0.9930.03310.105 (0.102–0.107)0.9980.03190.0900.9960.0432
0.099 (0.096–0.102)0.9910.04290.120 (0.117–0.1229)0.9980.02920.1060.9960.0437
0.102 (0.099–0.104)0.9950.02830.117 (0.115–0.119)0.9990.02830.1010.9960.0477
0.101 (0.099–0.103)0.9950.03040.117 (0.115–0.120)0.9980.02900.1040.9960.0418
0.101 (0.099–0.104)0.9950.02830.115 (0.112–0.118)0.9980.03040.1020.9960.0452
0.102 (0.100–0.104)0.9960.02950.118 (0.115–0.121)0.9980.03020.1050.9960.0433
0.095 (0.093–0.098)0.9890.04640.116 (0.113–0.119)0.9980.03080.1010.9960.0476
0.101 (0.098–0.103)0.9950.02790.115 (0.112–0.117)0.9980.02830.1000.9960.0450
0.102 (0.100–0.104)0.9960.02570.116 (0.114–0.118)0.9990.02160.1000.9950.0477
0.074 (0.070–0.079)0.9500.10390.116 (0.113–0.118)0.9990.02490.1000.9950.0479
0.094 (0.091–0.096)0.9930.03150.110 (0.108–0.113)0.9980.02640.0960.9950.0465
0.098 (0.095–0.100)0.9920.04310.118 (0.115–0.120)0.9990.02580.1030.9960.0431
0.113 (0.111–0.116)0.9960.02640.131 (0.128–0.134)0.9990.02670.1160.9970.0427
0.111 (0.109–0.114)0.9950.02780.126 (0.123–0.130)0.9980.02860.1110.9960.0453
0.108 (0.106–0.110)0.9970.02310.123 (0.121–0.126)0.9990.02440.1080.9960.0444
0.112 (0.109–0.115)0.9920.03620.128 (0.124–0.131)0.9980.03380.1130.9960.0452
0.110 (0.107–0.112)0.9960.02560.125 (0.122–0.128)0.9990.02800.1110.9960.0429
0.105 (0.102–0.107)0.9950.03020.123 (0.121–0.126)0.9990.02390.1070.9960.0460
0.111 (0.107–0.116)0.9820.06380.140 (0.137–0.143)0.9990.02750.1240.9960.0443
0.119 (0.117–0.121)0.9970.02250.137 (0.134–0.140)0.9990.02650.1220.9970.0400
0.117 (0.113–0.120)0.9920.03990.140 (0.137–0.143)0.9990.02360.1230.9960.0454
0.120 (0.118–0.122)0.9980.02180.138 (0.135–0.142)0.9990.02600.1230.9970.0401
0.120 (0.117–0.122)0.9960.02740.137 (0.134–0.140)0.9990.02710.1200.9960.0471
0.116 (0.113–0.119)0.9950.03040.132 (0.129–0.135)0.9990.02490.1170.9970.0397
0.120 (0.117–0.123)0.9940.03290.137 (0.133–0.141)0.9980.03260.1230.9970.0424
0.117 (0.114–0.119)0.9970.02470.135 (0.132–0.138)0.9990.02390.1210.9970.0374
0.105 (0.101–0.109)0.9800.07150.137 (0.133–0.141)0.9980.02920.1230.9970.0371
0.112 (0.110–0.114)0.9970.02160.128 (0.125–0.130)0.9990.02180.1120.9960.0458
0.120 (0.117–0.122)0.9960.02780.137 (0.134–0.140)0.9990.02490.1200.9960.0449
0.109 (0.106–0.112)0.9930.03180.124 (0.121–0.126)0.9990.02460.1050.9940.0531

1060.092 (0.089–0.096)0.9890.04000.112 (0.109–0.114)0.9980.02690.0910.9930.0516
0.114 (0.111–0.117)0.9940.03020.130 (0.126–0.134)0.9980.03250.1120.9950.0469
0.101 (0.096–0.105)0.9790.06670.130 (0.127–0.134)0.9980.02780.1120.9950.0478
0.115 (0.112–0.117)0.9960.02480.129 (0.126–0.132)0.9980.02670.1120.9950.0456
0.112 (0.109–0.115)0.9950.03100.131 (0.128–0.135)0.9980.03030.1160.9960.0412
0.115 (0.113–0.117)0.9960.02450.132 (0.129–0.135)0.9990.02590.1150.9950.0453
0.117 (0.114–0.119)0.9970.02430.131 (0.128–0.135)0.9980.02800.1130.9950.0482
0.113 (0.110–0.115)0.9950.03190.130 (0.126–0.134)0.9980.03210.1130.9950.0465
0.114 (0.112–0.117)0.9950.02940.130 (0.126–0.133)0.9980.02980.1110.9950.0489
0.114 (0.111–0.117)0.9950.02820.132 (0.129–0.134)0.9980.02840.1140.9950.0475
0.111 (0.108–0.113)0.9970.02230.127 (0.124–0.130)0.9980.02690.1090.9950.0458
0.112 (0.109–0.115)0.9950.02920.128 (0.125–0.132)0.9980.03090.1110.9950.0444
0.116 (0.114–0.118)0.9970.02270.131 (0.128–0.135)0.9980.02610.1130.9940.0499
0.069 (0.063–0.074)0.9030.15750.129 (0.127–0.132)0.9990.02480.1090.9930.0543
0.108 (0.106–0.111)0.9960.02500.123 (0.120–0.126)0.9990.02430.1040.9940.0516
0.120 (0.117–0.122)0.9950.02890.137 (0.133–0.140)0.9980.02910.0030.1560.9944
0.112 (0.110–0.115)0.9960.02500.127 (0.124–0.131)0.9980.02890.1100.9950.0465
0.113 (0.111–0.116)0.9960.02790.132 (0.129–0.136)0.9980.02840.1150.9960.0443
0.102 (0.098–0.106)0.9870.04940.126 (0.123–0.129)0.9980.02610.1090.9950.0456
0.086 (0.082–0.089)0.9820.05430.109 (0.106–0.112)0.9980.02780.0910.9930.0501
0.079 (0.076–0.083)0.9750.06030.101 (0.098–0.105)0.9970.03530.0830.9910.0576
0.106 (0.104–0.109)0.9950.02860.122 (0.119–0.125)0.9980.02810.1030.9940.0499
0.102 (0.099–0.105)0.9930.03060.117 (0.114–0.119)0.9980.02610.0980.9940.0500
0.111 (0.108–0.113)0.9960.02340.127 (0.124–0.130)0.9990.02510.1090.9950.0458
0.102 (0.099–0.105)0.9920.03450.119 (0.116–0.121)0.9990.02400.0980.9930.0525
0.104 (0.101–0.107)0.9930.02930.119 (0.116–0.122)0.9980.02580.1010.9940.0498
0.071 (0.066–0.076)0.9310.12090.121 (0.118–0.124)0.9980.02500.1020.9930.0517
0.105 (0.102–0.108)0.9940.03120.122 (0.119–0.125)0.9980.02660.1020.9930.0536
0.106 (0.103–0.109)0.9930.03410.123 (0.120–0.126)0.9980.02700.1040.9940.0499
0.094 (0.091–0.098)0.9890.03990.114 (0.111–0.117)0.9980.02920.0950.9930.0510