A Bayesian Outbreak Detection Method for Influenza-Like Illness

Figure 2

Outbreak detection for population sizes of (a) = 5,000, (b) = 10,000, (c) = 500,000, and (d) = 1,000,000. Data was generated with a realization of a model with demographic stochasticity and imported cases. Outbreaks detection improves as the population size grows.

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