A Bayesian Outbreak Detection Method for Influenza-Like Illness

<div>Spanish influenza in San Francisco, USA, 1918. Population 550000. Outbreak spanned from September 24th to November 24th. Method detected outbreak on the 17th day of the outbreak (October 10th). 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BioMed Research International

A Bayesian Outbreak Detection Method for Influenza-Like Illness

Figure 3