Identifying High-Cost, High-Risk Patients Using Administrative Databases in Tuscany, Italy

Table 3

Characteristics and outcomes in 2015 for complex patients disaggregated by TP, FN, and FP.

True positive			False negative			False positive
Age group	Number	Percentage	Age group	Number	Percentage	Age group	Number	Percentage
60–74	251	31	60–74	63	21	60–74	181	41
75–79	162	20	75–79	50	17	75–79	108	24
80+	395	49	80+	189	63	80+	157	35
Total	808	100	Total	302	100	Total	446	100
Gender	Number	Percentage	Gender	Number	Percentage	Gender	Number	Percentage
Male	389	48	Male	133	44	Male	216	48
Female	419	52	Female	169	56	Female	230	52
Total	808	100	Total	302	100	Total	446	100
Number and prevalence (%) considering MaCro			Number and prevalence (%) considering MaCro			Number and prevalence (%) considering MaCro
Chronic diseases	Number	Percentage	Chronic diseases	Number	Percentage	Chronic diseases	Number	Percentage
Heart failure	170	21	Heart failure	48	16	Heart failure	47	11
Ischaemic cardiopathy	284	35	Ischaemic cardiopathy	80	26	Ischaemic cardiopathy	107	24
COPD	282	35	COPD	64	21	COPD	145	33
Dementia	110	14	Dementia	16	5	Dementia	34	8
Diabetes	211	26	Diabetes	78	26	Diabetes	147	33
At least one chronic disease	713	88	At least one chronic disease	174	58	At least one chronic disease	368	83
Number and prevalence (%) considering hospitalisation database			Number and prevalence (%) considering hospitalisation database			Number and prevalence (%) considering hospitalisation database
ACC	Number	Percentage	ACC	Number	Percentage	ACC	Number	Percentage
Card 1	74	9	Card 1	29	10	Card 1	13	3
Card 2	187	23	Card 2	66	22	Card 2	81	18
Card3	10	1	Card3	6	2	Card3	0	0
CerVa1	49	6	CerVa1	31	10	CerVa1	19	4
CerVa2	7	1	CerVa2	2	1	CerVa2	2	0
GI	8	1	GI	7	2	GI	5	1
Canc	30	4	Canc	27	9	Canc	16	4
Kidn	13	1	Kidn	5	2	Kidn	7	2
Neur	401	50	Neur	27	9	Neur	3	1
Resp	116	14	Resp	37	12	Resp	30	7
At least one	401	50	At least one	153	51	At least one	159	36
Average number of diseases	1.1		Average number of diseases	0.7		Average number of diseases	0.4
Consumptions	Number	Percentage	Consumptions	Number	Percentage	Consumptions	Number	Percentage
Hospital admissions	101	13	Hospital admissions	1	0	Hospital admissions	30	7
Average number of hospitalisations	399/808 = 4.5		Average number of hospitalisations	51/302 = 0.16		Average number of hospitalisations	139/446 = 0.31
ER admissions	205	25	ER admissions	13	4	ER admissions	98	22
Examinations	198	25	Examinations	16	5	Examinations	109	24
Laboratory tests	320	40	Laboratory tests	21	7	Laboratory tests	214	48
ATC	309	38	ATC	13	4	ATC	67	15
UVM/ADP	163	20	UVM/ADP	10	3	UVM/ADP	70	16