Research Article

Analysis of the Transmissibility Change of 2019-Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia and Its Potential Factors in China from 2019 to 2020

Table 1

The summary result of transmissibility change of COVID-19 and its potential factors.

SI meanSI SDAveraged (95% CI) vs. Cum. Baidu Index vs. Baidu Migration Scale Index
Changing percentage (95%)R-squared, valueGCT, valueChanging percentage (95%)R-squared, valueGCT, value

7.53.43.44 (2.87, 4)-0.029%
(-0.007%,-0.051%)
0.2845, -2.7%
(-4.97%, -0.38%)
0.137,

The significant level is 0.05. is the instantaneous reproduction number, and SI is the serial interval of COVID-19; the changing percentage indicates that the change of when the predictors (e.g., Cum. Baidu Index or Baidu Migration Scale Index) increases one unit. GCT is the Granger causality test. Cum. Baidu Index is the Cumulative Baidu Index.