Research Article

Development and Validation of a Novel Model for Predicting the 5-Year Risk of Type 2 Diabetes in Patients with Hypertension: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Table 2

T2D risk prediction in patients with hypertension based on Cox proportional risk regression model.

Univariate analysis valueMultivariate analysis value
OR (95% CI)OR (95% CI)

Age1.04 (1.03, 1.06)<0.00011.04 (1.02, 1.06)0.0009
Gender
 MaleReference
 Female0.47 (0.25, 0.89)NS
BMI1.13 (1.07, 1.20)<0.00011.14 (1.05, 1.23)0.0016
FPG6.60 (4.95, 8.81)<0.00016.21 (4.28, 8.99)<0.0001
TC1.28 (1.04, 1.57)0.02031.26 (1.07, 1.53)0.0188
TG1.29 (1.20, 1.39)<0.00011.05 (0.86, 1.28)NS
HDL-C0.29 (0.15, 0.57)0.00030.93 (0.33, 2.57)NS
LDL-C1.17 (0.85, 1.60)NS
ALT1.00 (1.00, 1.01)NS
AST1.01 (1.00, 1.02)NS
BUN1.13 (0.94, 1.36)NS
CCR0.99 (0.97, 1.00)0.04581.00 (0.98, 1.02)NS
Smoking status
 CurrentReferenceReference
 Ever0.62 (0.27, 1.47)NS0.49 (0.20, 1.18)NS
 Never0.32 (0.21, 0.51)<0.00010.95 (0.44, 2.06)NS
Drinking status
 CurrentReferenceReference
 Ever0.17 (0.10, 0.29)<0.00010.49 (0.20, 1.18)NS
 Never0.16 (0.08, 0.32)<0.00010.95 (0.44, 2.06)NS
Family history
 NoReferenceReference
 Yes3.79 (2.33, 6.15)<0.00011.63 (0.82, 3.23)NS

T2D: type 2 diabetes; BMI: body mass index; FBG: fasting blood glucose; TC: total cholesterol; TG: triglycerides; LDL-C: low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; HDL-C: high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; ALT: alanine aminotransferase; AST: aspartate aminotransferase; BUN: blood urea nitrogen; CCR: creatinine clearance; OR: odds ratio; CI: confidence interval; NS: no significance.