Research Article

Development and Validation of a Nomogram Model for Predicting the Risk of Readmission in Patients with Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction within 1 Year

Table 1

Baseline characteristics of the nonreadmission group and readmission group.

VariablesNonreadmission group ()Readmission group () value

Age (years)<0.001
Gender (, %)0.290
 Male321 (66.5%)153 (70.5%)
 Female162 (33.5%)64 (29.5%)
NYHA class, (n, %)0.045
 II81 (16.8%)22 (10.1%)
 III321 (66.5%)149 (68.7%)
 IV81 (16.8%)46 (21.2%)
BMI (kg/m2)21.26 (20.14,22.48)21.03 (20.10,21.77)<0.001
SBP (mmHg)<0.001
 <120104 (21.5%)91 (41.9%)
 >14099 (20.5%)57 (26.3%)
 120–140280 (58.0%)69 (31.8%)
DBP (mmHg)75 (66,85)72 (62.5,86)0.059
 >60327 (67.7%)131 (60.4%)
 ≤60156 (32.3)86 (39.6)
Heart rate (b.p.m.)74 (63,88)72 (59,89)0.196
Smoking (, %)0.115
 No332 (68.7%)136 (62.7%)
 Yes151 (31.3%)81 (37.3%)
Drinking (, %)0.468
 No300 (62.1%)141 (65%)
 Yes183 (37.9%)76 (35%)
Comorbidities, (, %)
 Hypertension180 (37.3%)92 (42.4%)0.198
 Diabetes94 (19.5%)91 (41.9%)<0.001
 Atrial fibrillation60 (12.4%)39 (18%)0.051
 Stroke54 (11.2%)35 (16.1%)0.069
 Coronary heart disease158 (32.7%)89 (41%)0.034
 Dyslipidemia59 (12.2%)24 (11.1%)0.662
 Myocardial infarction79 (16.4%)45 (20.7%)0.16
 COPD21 (4.3%)12 (5.5%)0.495
 Chronic kidney disease15 (3.1%)9 (4.1%)0.484
 Anemia150 (31.1%)84 (38.7%)0.047
Fasting glucose (mmol/L)7 (5.45,10.35)7.11 (5.425,10.33)0.846
Serum creatinine (μmol/L)91 (67,137)90 (71,123)0.566
eGFR (mL/min)74.37 (45.24,95.32)67.84 (47.4,86.79)0.024
Hemoglobin (g/L)130 (109,147)132 (116,150)0.057
Serum sodium (mmol/L)139.37 (135.88,142.4)140 (137.36,142.28)0.145
Serum kalium (mmol/L)4.05 (3.67,4.46)4.1 (3.69,4.515)0.199
Total cholesterol (mmol/L)4.19 (3.34,5.52)4.24 (3.415,5.12)0.311
LDL-C (mmol/L)2.56 (1.79,3.49)2.57 (1.955,3.235)0.859
Uric acid (μmol/L)409 (336,537)438 (342.5, 577.5)0.048
NT-proBNP (pg/mL)2338 (1020,5675)3510 (1452,5868)0.044
LVEF (%)31 (28,35)29 (25.5,33)<0.001
LVEDd (mm)72 (65,78)73 (62,85)0.134
Medication at admission (, %)
 ACEI71 (14.7%)36 (16.6%)0.52
 ARB110 (22.8%)36 (16.6%)0.063
 ARNI329 (68.1%)83 (38.2%)<0.001
 Beta-blockers408 (84.5%)187 (86.2%)0.559
 Aldosterone receptor antagonist434 (89.9%)195 (89.9%)0.998
 Ivabradine1 (0.2%)2 (0.9%)0.181
 Diuretic440 (91.1%)200 (92.2%)0.64
 Digitalis186 (38.5%)91 (41.9%)0.391
Device therapy (, %)
 CRT-D2 (0.4%)3 (1.4%)0.159
 CRT-P2 (0.4%)2 (0.9%)0.41
 Pacemaker11 (2.3%)10 (4.6%)0.095
 ICD2 (0.4%)0 (0%)0.342

BMI: body mass index; SBP: systolic blood pressure; DBP: diastolic blood pressure; COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; eGFR: estimated glomerular filtration rate; LDL-C: low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; NT-proBNP: N-terminal-pro brain natriuretic peptide; LVEF: left ventricular ejection fraction; LVEDd: left ventricular end-diastolic diameter; ACEI: angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor; ARB: angiotensin receptor blockers; ARNI: angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitors; CRT-D: CRT defibrillator; CRT-P: CRT pacemaker; ICD: implantable cardioverter defibrillator.