Research Article

Development and Validation of a Nomogram Model for Predicting the Risk of Readmission in Patients with Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction within 1 Year

Table 3

Baseline characteristics of validation training sets.

VariablesValidation set ()Training set () value

Age (years)0.185
Gender (, %)0.832
 Male141 (67.1%)333 (68%)
 Female69 (32.9%)157 (32%)
NYHA class (, %)0.86
 II29 (13.8%)74 (15.1%)
 III141 (67.1%)329 (67.1%)
 IV40 (19%)87 (17.8%)
BMI (kg/m2)21.26 (20.14,22.48)21.03 (20.10,21.77)0.449
SBP (mmHg)0.053
 <12053 (25.2%)142 (29.0%)
 >14038 (18.1%)118 (24.1%)
 120–140119 (56.7%)230 (46.9%)
DBP (mmHg)0.652
 >60140 (66.7%)318 (64.9%)
 ≤6070 (33.3%)172 (35.1%)
Heart rate (b.p.m.)73 (62,88.25)74 (62,88.25)0.947
Smoking (, %)0.063
 No151 (71.9%)317 (64.7%)
 Yes59 (28.1%)173 (35.3%)
Drinking (, %)0.252
 No139 (66.2%)302 (61.6%)
 Yes71 (33.8%)188 (38.4%)
Comorbidities (, %)
 Hypertension70 (33.3%)202 (41.2%)0.050
 Diabetes56 (26.7%)129 (26.3%)0.925
 Atrial fibrillation27 (12.9%)72 (14.7%)0.523
 Stroke34 (16.2%)55 (11.2%)0.071
 Coronary heart disease76 (36.2%)171 (34.9%)0.743
 Dyslipidemia27 (12.9%)56 (11.4%)0.592
 Myocardial infarction37 (17.6%)87 (17.8%)0.966
 COPD10 (4.8%)23 (4.7%)0.969
 Chronic kidney disease5 (2.4%)19 (3.9%)0.319
 Anemia65 (31.0%)169 (34.5%)0.363
Fasting glucose (mmol/L)7.17 (5.3825,10.3275)7.04 (5.445,10.345)0.78
Serum creatinine (μmol/L)92.5 (67.75,132)89 (68,131)0.597
eGFR (mL/min)69.925 (44.2225,92.4325)72.89 (47.2,92.92)0.767
Hemoglobin (g/L)130 (109,147)132 (116,150)0.906
Serum sodium (mmol/L)140 (136,143)140 (136.6,142.1)0.841
Serum kalium (mmol/L)4.04 (3.69,4.4325)4.075 (3.67,4.48)0.528
Total cholesterol (mmol/L)4.28 (3.365,5.3425)4.2 (3.355,5.315)0.79
LDL-C (mmol/L)2.61 (1.8075,3.45)2.535 (1.825,3.3525)0.612
Uric acid (μmol/L)429.5 (346.75,576.25)413 (332.75,538)0.084
NT-proBNP (pg/mL)2433 (953.25,6142.25)2799 (1180.5,5731.25)0.524
LVEF (%)31 (27,34)31 (27,34)0.893
LVEDd (mm)73 (63.75,80)71 (64,79)0.628
Medication at admission (, %)
 ACEI28 (13.3%)79 (16.1%)0.168
 ARB49 (23.3%)97 (19.8%)0.291
 ARNI128 (61.0%)284 (58.0%)0.461
 Beta-blockers185 (88.1%)410 (83.7%)0.133
 Aldosterone receptor antagonist187 (89%)442 (90.2%)0.642
 Ivabradine1 (0.5%)2 (0.4%)0.9
 Diuretic195 (92.9%)445 (90.8%)0.377
 Digitalis85 (40.5%)192 (39.2%)0.749
Device therapy (, %)
 CRT-D3 (1.4%)2 (0.4%)0.142
CRT-P1 (0.5%)3 (0.6%)0.827
 Pacemaker5 (2.4%)16 (3.3%)0.53
 ICD1 (0.5%)1 (0.2%)0.537

BMI: body mass index; SBP: systolic blood pressure; DBP: diastolic blood pressure; COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; eGFR: estimated glomerular filtration rate; LDL-C: low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; NT-proBNP: N-terminal-pro brain natriuretic peptide; LVEF: left ventricular ejection fraction; LVEDd: left ventricular end-diastolic diameter; ACEI: angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor; ARB: angiotensin receptor blockers; ARNI: angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitors; CRT-D: CRT defibrillator; CRT-P: CRT pacemaker; ICD: implantable cardioverter defibrillator.