Research Article
Stock Market Forecasting Using Restricted Gene Expression Programming
Table 3
Comparison results of six methods for a-week-ahead prediction.
| Stock index | Method | RMSE | MAP | ARV | MAPE | R2 | VAF (%) |
| DJI | Our method | 0.005411 | 6.9911 | 0.00113 | 0.73146 | 0.99887 | 99.992 | DRNN | 0.0083 | 8.4909 | 0.002735 | 1.1696 | 0.99726 | 99.981 | FNT | 0.015427 | 14.907 | 0.00613 | 1.8023 | 0.98939 | 99.933 | RBFNN | 0.016188 | 24.473 | 0.01057 | 2.2631 | 0.98943 | 99.927 | BPNN | 0.049026 | 22.721 | 0.060301 | 5.5923 | 0.9397 | 99.328 | ARIMA | 0.052472 | 20.924 | 0.071326 | 5.9773 | 0.92867 | 99.230 |
| HSI | Our method | 0.008725 | 6.8824 | 0.01116 | 0.97359 | 0.98883 | 99.984 | DRNN | 0.016272 | 13.384 | 0.033924 | 1.8718 | 0.96608 | 99.944 | FNT | 0.020128 | 19.261 | 0.065331 | 2.2759 | 0.93467 | 99.915 | RBFNN | 0.023406 | 25.32 | 0.072545 | 2.7067 | 0.92756 | 99.885 | BPNN | 0.035987 | 44.738 | 0.12867 | 4.1357 | 0.87133 | 99.729 | ARIMA | 0.013361 | 13.817 | 0.026688 | 1.5367 | 0.97331 | 99.963 |
| NASI | Our method | 0.008324 | 7.9168 | 0.001707 | 1.0035 | 0.99829 | 99.979 | DRNN | 0.013969 | 11.069 | 0.005465 | 1.757 | 0.99453 | 99.941 | FNT | 0.016468 | 32.352 | 0.006859 | 2.5336 | 0.99314 | 99.918 | RBFNN | 0.03669 | 37.371 | 0.027513 | 4.5327 | 0.97249 | 99.591 | BPNN | 0.046 | 17.5 | 0.042533 | 5.973 | 0.95747 | 99.353 | ARIMA | 0.049849 | 18.46 | 0.093189 | 5.31 | 0.90681 | 99.245 |
| SSEI | Our method | 0.008105 | 9.957 | 0.00535 | 1.1271 | 0.99465 | 99.962 | DRNN | 0.010107 | 12.959 | 0.008481 | 1.7396 | 0.99152 | 99.941 | FNT | 0.014559 | 18.931 | 0.018903 | 2.2848 | 0.9811 | 99.878 | RBFNN | 0.014681 | 20.06 | 0.018024 | 2.1804 | 0.98198 | 99.876 | BPNN | 0.035922 | 32.768 | 0.091613 | 6.9046 | 0.90839 | 99.256 | ARIMA | 0.020766 | 20.533 | 0.029814 | 3.9766 | 0.97019 | 99.752 |
| SZSEI | Our method | 0.016959 | 16.079 | 0.009762 | 2.4933 | 0.99024 | 99.851 | DRNN | 0.018315 | 19.783 | 0.011685 | 3.0419 | 0.98831 | 99.826 | FNT | 0.018571 | 21.67 | 0.012189 | 3.0233 | 0.98781 | 99.821 | RBFNN | 0.023881 | 31.222 | 0.018031 | 3.8187 | 0.98197 | 99.704 | BPNN | 0.027297 | 41.441 | 0.027768 | 4.0751 | 0.97223 | 99.614 | ARIMA | 0.029022 | 26.983 | 0.02844 | 4.8583 | 0.97156 | 99.563 |
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