Research Article

Stock Market Forecasting Using Restricted Gene Expression Programming

Table 3

Comparison results of six methods for a-week-ahead prediction.

Stock indexMethodRMSEMAPARVMAPER2VAF (%)

DJIOur method0.0054116.99110.001130.731460.9988799.992
DRNN0.00838.49090.0027351.16960.9972699.981
FNT0.01542714.9070.006131.80230.9893999.933
RBFNN0.01618824.4730.010572.26310.9894399.927
BPNN0.04902622.7210.0603015.59230.939799.328
ARIMA0.05247220.9240.0713265.97730.9286799.230

HSIOur method0.0087256.88240.011160.973590.9888399.984
DRNN0.01627213.3840.0339241.87180.9660899.944
FNT0.02012819.2610.0653312.27590.9346799.915
RBFNN0.02340625.320.0725452.70670.9275699.885
BPNN0.03598744.7380.128674.13570.8713399.729
ARIMA0.01336113.8170.0266881.53670.9733199.963

NASIOur method0.0083247.91680.0017071.00350.9982999.979
DRNN0.01396911.0690.0054651.7570.9945399.941
FNT0.01646832.3520.0068592.53360.9931499.918
RBFNN0.0366937.3710.0275134.53270.9724999.591
BPNN0.04617.50.0425335.9730.9574799.353
ARIMA0.04984918.460.0931895.310.9068199.245

SSEIOur method0.0081059.9570.005351.12710.9946599.962
DRNN0.01010712.9590.0084811.73960.9915299.941
FNT0.01455918.9310.0189032.28480.981199.878
RBFNN0.01468120.060.0180242.18040.9819899.876
BPNN0.03592232.7680.0916136.90460.9083999.256
ARIMA0.02076620.5330.0298143.97660.9701999.752

SZSEIOur method0.01695916.0790.0097622.49330.9902499.851
DRNN0.01831519.7830.0116853.04190.9883199.826
FNT0.01857121.670.0121893.02330.9878199.821
RBFNN0.02388131.2220.0180313.81870.9819799.704
BPNN0.02729741.4410.0277684.07510.9722399.614
ARIMA0.02902226.9830.028444.85830.9715699.563