Research Article
[Retracted] Research on Probability Distribution of Short-Term Photovoltaic Output Forecast Error Based on Numerical Characteristic Clustering
Table 7
Accuracy evaluation of different models.
| ā | Model | R2 | RMSE |
| Class I small error | 3GGMM | 0.9856 | 0.0756 | Laplace | 0.9326 | 0.8993 | t-distribution | 0.9795 | 0.6865 | Normal distribution | 0.8003 | 1.8454 |
| Class II small error | 3GGMM | 0.9991 | 0.1027 | Laplace | 0.5173 | 1.9803 | t-distribution | 0.9675 | 0.4952 | Normal distribution | 0.7264 | 1.5314 |
| Class III small error | 3GGMM | 0.9023 | 0.3785 | Laplace | 0.4802 | 0.8695 | t-distribution | 0.7203 | 0.6263 | Normal distribution | 0.3254 | 0.9886 |
| Class I large error | 3GGMM | 0.9995 | 0.1132 | Laplace | 0.9348 | 0.4165 | t-distribution | 0.9951 | 0.1403 | Normal distribution | 0.9951 | 0.1406 |
| Class II large error | 3GGMM | 0.9601 | 0.1385 | Laplace | 0.7784 | 0.4625 | t-distribution | 0.8728 | 0.3098 | Normal distribution | 0.8756 | 0.3178 |
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