Research Article

[Retracted] Research on Probability Distribution of Short-Term Photovoltaic Output Forecast Error Based on Numerical Characteristic Clustering

Table 7

Accuracy evaluation of different models.

ā€‰ModelR2RMSE

Class I small error3GGMM0.98560.0756
Laplace0.93260.8993
t-distribution0.97950.6865
Normal distribution0.80031.8454

Class II small error3GGMM0.99910.1027
Laplace0.51731.9803
t-distribution0.96750.4952
Normal distribution0.72641.5314

Class III small error3GGMM0.90230.3785
Laplace0.48020.8695
t-distribution0.72030.6263
Normal distribution0.32540.9886

Class I large error3GGMM0.99950.1132
Laplace0.93480.4165
t-distribution0.99510.1403
Normal distribution0.99510.1406

Class II large error3GGMM0.96010.1385
Laplace0.77840.4625
t-distribution0.87280.3098
Normal distribution0.87560.3178