Application of Combination Forecasting Model in Aircraft Failure Rate Forecasting

Table 3

Input data model and error data table.

Model		MAPE	RMSE	MAE	IA	TIC	EC	NSE
ARIMA		17.34	1.223	0.235	0.224	0.223	0.109	-1.335
Verhuls		22.31	0.908	1.118	0.206	0.312	0.625	-2.109
BP		24.54	1.221	1.223	0.403	0.156	0.798	-1.478
Combined	ESSR method	10.23	0.712	0.233	0.732	0.213	0.831	0.255
	Shapley value method	9.43	0.109	0.156	0.897	0.132	0.912	0.836
	IOWA operator method	5.42	0.101	0.089	0.987	0.134	0.981	0.934