The Role of Migration in Maintaining the Transmission of Avian Influenza in Waterfowl: A Multisite Multispecies Transmission Model along East Asian-Australian Flyway

Table 1

Parameter estimates of the multisites multispecies transmission model.

Parameter	Notation	Estimate (95% CrI)
Regional coefficient	(high-latitude)	1.082 (0.946, 1.394)
	(mid-latitude)	1.102 (0.963, 1.394)
	(Oceania)	0.823 (0.201, 1.036)
Contact rate	(mallard)	0.331 (0.296, 0.338)
	(ducks)	0.266 (0.223, 0.294)
	(others)	0.219 (0.040, 0.262)
Species-specific migration rate	(mallard)	0.00281 (0.00052, 0.01127)
	(ducks)	0.00356 (0.00066, 0.01414)
	(others)	0.02648 (0.00759, 0.03170)
Logarithm of the ratio of migration between areas		−2.578 (−4.987, 1.088)