Research Article
Banked Human Milk and Quantitative Risk Assessment of Bacillus cereus Infection in Premature Infants: A Simulation Study
Table 1
R-value for the exponential dose-response model based on simulated scenarios and variation of the infectious dose.
| Dose1 | Total CFU per serving | R scenario 1 | R scenario 2 | R scenario 3 |
| 200 | 20,000 | 1.2E − 10 | 1.62E − 9 | 2.50E − 9 | 100 | 10,000 | 2.5E − 10 | 3.25E − 9 | 5.00E − 9 | 75 | 7,500 | 3.3E − 10 | 4.33E − 9 | 6.66E − 9 | 65 | 6,500 | 3.8E − 10 | 5.00E − 9 | 7.69E − 9 | 55 | 5,500 | 4.5E − 10 | 5.91E − 9 | 9.09E − 9 | 50 | 5,000 | 5.0E − 10 | 6.50E − 9 | 1.00E − 8 | 45 | 4,500 | 5.5E − 10 | 7.22E − 9 | 1.11E − 8 | 40 | 4,000 | 6.2E − 10 | 8.13E − 9 | 1.25E − 8 | 35 | 3,500 | 7.1E − 10 | 9.29E − 9 | 1.42E − 8 | 30 | 3,000 | 8.3E − 10 | 1.08E − 8 | 1.67E − 8 | 20 | 2,000 | 1.25E − 9 | 1.63E − 8 | 2.50E − 8 | 15 | 1,500 | 1.67E − 9 | 2.17E − 8 | 3.33E − 8 | 12 | 1,200 | 2.08E − 9 | 2.71E − 8 | 4.16E − 8 | 9 | 900 | 2.78E − 9 | 3.61E − 8 | 5.56E − 8 | 6 | 600 | 4.17E − 9 | 5.42E − 8 | 8.33E − 8 | 3 | 300 | 8.33E − 9 | 1.08E − 7 | 1.67E − 7 | 1 | 100 | 2.50E − 8 | 3.25E − 7 | 5.00E − 7 | 0.5 | 50 | 5.00E − 8 | 6.50E − 7 | 1.00E − 7 |
|
|
Annual incidence of infection of 0.01%, 0.13%, and 0.2% for scenarios 1, 2, and 3, respectively. 1Dose in CFU/ml. |