Modeling HIV Epidemic under Contact Tracing — The Cuban Case

De Arazoza, H.; Lounes, R.; Hoang, T.; Interian, Y.

doi:https://doi.org/10.1080/10273660008833053

Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine

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The Fifth International Conference on Mathematical Population Dynamics

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Volume 2 |Article ID 925984 | https://doi.org/10.1080/10273660008833053

H. De Arazoza, R. Lounes, T. Hoang, Y. Interian, "Modeling HIV Epidemic under Contact Tracing — The Cuban Case", Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine, vol. 2, Article ID 925984, 8 pages, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1080/10273660008833053

Modeling HIV Epidemic under Contact Tracing — The Cuban Case

H. De Arazoza,¹ R. Lounes,² T. Hoang,² and Y. Interian¹

¹Departamento Ecuaciones Diferenciales, Facultad Mat-Comp, Universidad de la Habana, San Lázaro y L Habana 4, Cuba

²Université René Descartes, Laboratoire de Statistique Médicale, UPRES A CNRS 8071, 45 rue des Sants-Pères 75006 Paris, France

Received22 Nov 1998

Accepted09 Aug 1999

Abstract

A nonlinear model is developed for an epidemic with contact tracing, and its dynamic is studied. A linear version of the model is presented in both deterministic and stochastic versions. We present the data for the cuban HIV/AIDS epidemic and fit the linear model to the data, we obtain estimates for the size of the Cuban HIV epidemic.

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Copyright © 2000 Hindawi Publishing Corporation. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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