Constructing an Urban Population Model for Medical Insurance Scheme Using Microsimulation Techniques

Table 1

Population distribution in 2000 and benchmarks in 2005 and 2010.

Items	2000	Percentage	2005	Percentage	2010	Percentage
Total population	5772650		6085700		6355960
Natural growth rate	0.857%		0.743%		0.629%
Adjust growth rate			1.031%		0.873%
Sex
Male	2994930	51.88	3115270	51.19	3253620	51.19
Female	2777720	48.12	2970430	48.81	3102340	48.81
Age group
0–4	387340	6.71	365120	6.00	338980	5.33
5–14	762910	13.22	719130	11.82	712930	11.22
15–24	1068940	18.52	1088360	17.88	1117380	17.58
25–34	1230500	21.32	1280240	21.04	1316000	20.71
35–44	900940	15.61	953170	15.66	1001060	15.75
45–54	645210	11.18	704260	11.57	756680	11.91
55–64	384130	6.65	449010	7.38	488140	7.68
65 and over	392690	6.80	526410	8.65	624790	9.83
Residential status
Urban area	3046230	52.77	3532750	58.05	3886030	61.14
Rural area	2726420	47.23	2552950	41.95	2469930	38.86
Nationality
Han	5025790	87.06	5265350	86.52	5462370	85.94
Minority	746860	12.94	820350	13.48	893590	14.06
Education
Tertiary	404200	7.63	455700	8.09	507290	8.55
Senior secondary	778740	14.70	973360	17.28	1178330	19.86
Junior secondary	1587680	29.97	1688170	29.97	1837500	30.97
Primary	2030030	38.32	1994600	35.41	1928280	32.50
Other *	496910	9.38	521040	9.25	481770	8.12
Under 6 years	475080		452830		422790

Note: *“Other” means illiteracy or semiliterate aged 6 years and over.