Research Article

Constructing an Urban Population Model for Medical Insurance Scheme Using Microsimulation Techniques

Table 2

Assumptions of population structures for the year 2010.

ItemsAssumptions of proportions

Adjusted growth rateEstimated to be 0.873%
Sex51.19% for males, 48.81% for females
Age groupAge group 0–14 years reduce 1.27% compared with 2005, age group 15–64 years keeps the same as in 2005
EducationJunior high school or over keeps increasing, primary education reduces slightly
Ethnic nationalityCompared with 2005, Han nationality increases 4.41%, Minority increases 9.63%
Residential statusUrban living increases from 58.05% to 61.14%, so rural living is 38.86% in 2010