Model Selection and Evaluation Based on Emerging Infectious Disease Data Sets including A/H1N1 and Ebola

Table 4

The estimations of all parameters with respect to the best model.

Data source	Parameter	Mean	Std.	MC_err	Tau	Geweke
H1N1		0.1605	9.1570e − 04	3.3003e − 06	6.6007	0.9999
		1013	8.6356	0.0341	6.6724	0.9997
West Africa		0.0251	4.8634e − 05	1.5757e − 07	6.6144	0.9999
		25794	83.712	0.2631	6.6658	0.9999
Guinea		0.0159	6.1289e − 05	2.1429e − 07	6.7164	0.9999
		3916	26.131	0.1143	6.6456	0.9999
Liberia		0.0919	6.19e − 03	6.1022e − 05	44.625	0.9973
		9886	74.03	0.5253	29.833	0.9999
		0.2333	0.0225	2.0514e − 04	39.52	0.9963
Sierra Leona		0.0536	1.0186e − 03	4.0645e − 06	12.058	0.9999
		12633	59.697	0.2866	11.61	0.9999
		0.3985	0.0149	6.4121e − 05	12.063	0.9997