Model Selection and Evaluation Based on Emerging Infectious Disease Data Sets including A/H1N1 and Ebola

Table 6

Comparison of the reported and model predicted cases of Ebola based in Richards model on June 14, 2015.

Source of data	Reported cases (number)	Predicted cases (number)	The rate of underestimated or overestimated model
West Africa	27305	25693	−5.9%
Guinea	3674	3778	+2.8%
Liberia	10666	9842	−7.7%
Sierra Leone	12965	12515	−3.5%

Source: World Health Organization (http://apps.who.int/ebola/current-situation/ebola-situation-report-17-june-2015).