Research Article
Model Selection and Evaluation Based on Emerging Infectious Disease Data Sets including A/H1N1 and Ebola
Table 8
The estimation of
and turning point
, 95% conditional confidence (95% CI) for each dataset and candidate model.
| | Model | | 95% CI | | 95% CI |
| | Liberia (Ebola) | | | | | | Richards model | 3.0223 | (2.6026, 3.4855) | 130 | (111, 159) | | Logistic model | 1.784 | (1.7661, 1.802) | 137 | (135, 140) | | Gompertz model | 1.197 | (1.1935, 1.2005) | 128 | (126, 130) |
| | Sierra Leone (Ebola) | | | | | | Richards model | 1.9016 | (1.8563, 1.9475) | 165 | (157, 174) | | Gompertz model | 1.1507 | (1.1478, 1.1536) | 164 | (162, 168) | | Logistic model | 1.5894 | (1.582, 1.5967) | 171 | (169, 173) |
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The models are sorted from the best to the worst.
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