Research Article

A Bayesian Inferential Approach to Quantify the Transmission Intensity of Disease Outbreak

Table 1

Sensitivity analysis of basic reproduction number is depending on generation time distribution as Weibull distribution for time since infection for 7 days as well as 10 days.

Prior distribution
for days
Basic reproduction number
(with 95% CrI)
Prior distribution
for days
Basic reproduction number
(with 95% CrI)

1.2548
(1.2223, 1.2923)
1.3392
(1.3128, 1.3938)

1.2543
(1.2250, 1.2850)
1.3323
(1.2962, 1.3762)

1.2578
(1.2309, 1.2909)
1.3296
(1.2895, 1.3695)

1.2569
(1.2279, 1.2879)
1.3303
(1.2969, 1.3669)