Research Article

Development of Health Parameter Model for Risk Prediction of CVD Using SVM

Table 2

Coefficients in the Framingham risk estimation for 10-year general cardiovascular disease risk [1].

⁢Men
⁢ (10-year baseline survival: So(10) = 0.88431)
⁢Women
⁢ (10-year baseline survival: So(10) = 0.94833)
Beta valueHazard ratio95% CI⁢Beta valueHazard ratio95% CI

Log of age3.11296<0.000122.49(14.80, 34.16)⁢2.72107<0.000115.20(8.59, 26.87)
Log of body mass index0.79277<0.00662.21(1.25, 3.91)⁢0.51125<0.06091.67(0.98, 2.85)
Log of SBP if not treated1.85508<0.00016.39(3.61, 11.33)⁢2.81291<0.000116.66(8.27, 33.54)
Log of SBP if treated1.92672<0.00016.87(3.90, 12.08)⁢2.88267<0.000117.86(8.97, 35.57)
Smoking0.70953<0.00012.03(1.75, 2.37)⁢0.61868<0.00011.86(1.53, 2.25)
Diabetes0.53160<0.00011.70(1.37, 2.11)⁢0.77763<0.00012.18(1.63, 2.91)

The 10-year risk for women can be calculated as , where is the regression coefficient and is the level for each risk factor; the risk for men is given as .
Estimated regression coefficient.