Stochastic Models of Emerging Infectious Disease Transmission on Adaptive Random Networks

<div>Profile of relative cumulative cases of type I and type II adaptive network against network adaptation probabilities <svg height="9.14241pt" id="M183" style="vertical-align:-3.1815pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 11.7753 9.14241" width="11.7753pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M615 290C615 392 563 448 529 448C511 448 491 441 484 434L483 425C518 400 546 349 546 273C546 158 504 46 417 46C381 46 356 77 356 142C356 184 380 293 392 334L387 340L307 323C305 288 296 228 287 188C265 94 221 52 180 52C144 52 112 89 112 171C112 278 164 372 241 430L226 454C106 394 23 288 23 155C23 40 79 -12 139 -12C184 -12 245 32 285 85C292 31 322 -12 376 -12C423 -12 470 18 501 45C570 104 615 184 615 290Z" id="g113-246"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,7.969,3.132)"><path d="M308 0V33C225 38 217 44 217 128V521C217 605 225 612 308 617V650H39V617C122 612 130 605 130 521V128C130 44 122 38 39 33V0H308Z" id="g58-71"></path></g></svg> and <svg height="9.14241pt" id="M184" style="vertical-align:-3.1815pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 14.9539 9.14241" width="14.9539pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M615 290C615 392 563 448 529 448C511 448 491 441 484 434L483 425C518 400 546 349 546 273C546 158 504 46 417 46C381 46 356 77 356 142C356 184 380 293 392 334L387 340L307 323C305 288 296 228 287 188C265 94 221 52 180 52C144 52 112 89 112 171C112 278 164 372 241 430L226 454C106 394 23 288 23 155C23 40 79 -12 139 -12C184 -12 245 32 285 85C292 31 322 -12 376 -12C423 -12 470 18 501 45C570 104 615 184 615 290Z" id="g113-246"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,7.969,3.132)"><path d="M308 0V33C225 38 217 44 217 128V521C217 605 225 612 308 617V650H39V617C122 612 130 605 130 521V128C130 44 122 38 39 33V0H308Z" id="g58-71"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,11.136,3.132)"><path d="M308 0V33C225 38 217 44 217 128V521C217 605 225 612 308 617V650H39V617C122 612 130 605 130 521V128C130 44 122 38 39 33V0H308Z" id="g58-71"></path></g></svg> and epidemic characteristic ratio <svg height="9.59912pt" id="M185" style="vertical-align:-3.63821pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 7.69399 9.59912" width="7.69399pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M565 434L556 448L482 423L322 189L287 373C280 410 261 448 236 448C207 448 161 415 110 338L131 317C160 355 181 374 193 374C204 374 208 366 217 330C230 279 247 185 259 116L50 -175C18 -223 29 -260 41 -278H51C97 -198 207 -33 270 57L313 -165C328 -235 349 -261 376 -261S445 -244 510 -150L487 -127C444 -178 423 -186 411 -186C402 -186 398 -177 387 -130C371 -62 349 39 332 135C390 217 524 392 565 434Z" id="g113-244"></path></g></svg>. <svg height="11.927pt" id="M186" style="vertical-align:-3.291101pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.6359 18.1953 11.927" width="18.1953pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M610 18C585 26 567 34 540 68C517 97 499 128 476 171C452 215 425 276 413 304C496 332 570 394 570 494C570 555 545 595 509 619S419 650 364 650H139L133 622C216 615 219 612 203 527L129 132C112 40 105 36 23 28L17 0H279L285 28C199 34 194 40 211 132L239 284H284C320 284 334 275 351 236C374 182 394 140 420 93C459 23 495 -1 592 -8H600L610 18ZM480 485C480 424 449 372 403 342C374 323 338 316 293 316H245L291 562C296 589 301 601 311 608S337 618 358 618C432 618 480 575 480 485Z" id="g113-83"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,8.086,3.132)"><path d="M1000 227C1000 351 905 451 780 451C658 451 590 380 530 279C465 385 388 451 261 451C168 451 38 376 38 210C38 98 121 -12 261 -12C381 -12 448 59 508 160C573 53 652 -12 780 -12C879 -12 1000 64 1000 227ZM485 199C434 109 370 25 271 25C188 25 133 117 133 241C133 355 189 414 249 414C357 414 426 302 485 199ZM903 204C903 70 852 25 790 25C681 25 611 136 552 240C603 330 669 414 768 414C855 414 903 321 903 204Z" id="g50-30"></path></g></svg> is the number of recovered individuals at the equilibrium.</div>

Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine

fig10

Figure 10

Figure 10: Stochastic Models of Emerging Infectious Disease Transmission on Adaptive Random Networks 