Modelling Risk to US Military Populations from Stopping Blanket Mandatory Polio Vaccination

Table 6

Modelled risk of new polio infections among nondeployed service members as a result of infected soldiers reintegrating upon return from deployment.

Scenario	% protected from disease; (deployed)	Average annual incidence; (nondeployed)	% protected from disease; (nondeployed)	% susceptible to transmission; (nondeployed)	Risk of new infections; (nondeployed)
1	99%	1.2/100,000	99%	21%	0.000504/1,000,000
2	99%	1.2/100,000	99% ↘ 93%	21% ↗ 26%	0.000504/1,000,000 ↗ 0.000624/1,000,000
3	99% ↘ 93%	1.3/100,000	99% ↘ 93%	21% ↗ 26%	0.000546/1,000,000 ↗ 0.000676/1,000,000